Latest Case-Shiller + Rent point to future lower CPI = plz Fed, look forward. WFH + cruise + builders + Bitcoin show FAANG isn't the only group breaking Consensus "rules." 11 Industrial stock ideas.

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Please click below to view yesterday’s Macro Minute (duration 4:18):

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WORD OF NOTE: I am visiting clients in Japan this week, and updates less complete given schedule

The main event this week is Friday June 30th, when we get the crucial May PCE deflator and the U Mich Consumer June final 1-year inflation. Why? Because we think the primary story in markets today is inflation. Our constructive view on stocks is based on the idea that many forward looking indicators of inflation point to inflation undershooting consensus = Fed having to do less.

Skeptics of the rise in equity markets this year centrally argue the stock gains are "narrow." While it is true that FAANG/Tech are massive leaders (and remains our top sector pick), solace, pointing to what they argue is an extremely narrow market. That is a mischaracterization:- ARKK ETF, +39% YTD: the "work from home" proxy- Carnival Cruise Lines $CCL, +97% YTD: "revenge travel" (3rd best $SPY)- Homebuilders $ITB +40% YTD: homebuilders defy higher rates In other words, there are plenty of themes, stock ideas and cyclical stocks working. All of this is consistent with the picture that US corporates survived a massive gauntlet of chal...

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