When will see next variant? Maybe April 2022? Stocks still go up even if bonds have a negative year

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STRATEGY: Stocks still go up even if bonds have a negative year

COVID-19 continues to retreat across the US, as the Omicron surge has passed
The trends in COVID-19 are overall improving in the US, and as evidenced by the steep rollover in the 7D cases (below), Omicron is disappearing as quickly as it has appeared. Moreover, at this pace, COVID-19 cases could be down more than 95% from its peak by late-Feb/early-March.

The video in this report is only accessible to members
The video in this report is only accessible to members

Looking at the last 4 variants, possible next variant breakout is April 2022...
We are all curious about the window for when we might see the next variant emerge. And one of our research analysts, John Bush, pulled some data together, measuring the interval between the emergence of variants. The analysis below is pretty interesting:
- Classic COVID
- Epsilon +225 days
- Gamma +117
- Delta +146
- Omicron +138

So there has been a somewhat steady interval between the emergence of new dominant variants. This is easier to see in the chart below:

- avg of last 3 variants +134 days
- implies future variant
- emerges around April 2022

This is not a forecast. As we have learned, COVID-19 is unpredictab...

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