First Word

Omicron is eradicating a more dangerous variant. After a +27% year, history implies S&P 500 2022 5,400-5,600 = our base case is conservative

Click HERE to access the FSInsight COVID-19 Daily Chartbook.

We publish on a 4-day a week schedule:

Monday
Tuesday
Wednesday
SKIP THURSDAY
SKIP FRIDAY - New Year's Day Holiday
SKIP NEXT MONDAY - New Year's Day Holiday

This is our final note for 2021. While the S&P 500 is on track to gain more than 25%, this has been labored gains given the constant tumult of COVID-19, Fed policy pivots (anticipation), persistent negativity and general public exhaustion with pandemic restrictions. I want to thank our paying clients for their support throughout the pandemic. Our firm's sole source of revenues is research fees paid to us as we do not manage capital, nor conduct investment banking. We are solely gaining when our clients gain. So thank you for keeping us in business!!!

STRATEGY: CDC drastically overestimated Omicron share...

Delta likely making many sick Delta variant still prevalent in the USA and could be the factor in rising hospitalizations
As Dr. Scott Gottlieb notes below, the CDC previously overestimated the prevalence of the Omicron variant in the US:

  • previously, last week share was posted as 73%, staggering rise for Omicron
  • revised estimate is 22% (down from 73%)
  • that is a drastic drop
This means that likely 78% of confirmed cases last week were Delta var...

Unlock this article with a FREE 30-Day Trial!

An FSI Pro, or FSI Macro subscription is required in order to access this content.

*Free trial available only on a monthly plan

More from the author

Disclosures (show)

Get invaluable analysis of the market and stocks. Cancel at any time. Start Free Trial

Articles Read 2/2

🎁 Unlock 1 extra article by joining our Community!

You’ve reached your limit of 2 free monthly articles. Please enter your email to unlock 1 more articles.

Already have an account? Sign In

Want to receive Regular Market Updates to your Inbox?

I am your default error :)