COVID-19 rolling over in 18 states vs 6 last week. Retail raised cash 3 weeks in a row, first time in 2021 = panic = bottom

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STRATEGY: Retail raised cash 3 weeks in a row, first time in 2021 = panic = bottom

COVID-19 rolling over in 18 states vs 6 last week
The best news is that COVID-19 now appears to be rolling over in 18 US states. This is up from 6 last week. And it is not just FL which is showing definitive signs of rolling over.

- India delta surge lasted 45 days
- UK delta surge lasted 45 days
- FL delta surge lasted ~40 days
- states delta surge lasted median 45 days

These are the 9 states where the 7D average of new cases seems to be rolling over:

- CA, NV, FL, LA, AR, ME, RI, ID, ME
- range of days to peak is 34 to 60 days

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These are the 9 states where it looks tentative. These states look tentatively flattening:

- NH, SD, WA, CT, DC, NC, MA, KS, HI
- these are earlier but promising trends
- we will have a better sense for these states in the coming days

But the key takeaway, to me, is that even with the Delta-variant, states are not going to see cases surge indefinitely. There is a peak.

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Not everyone catches COVID-19 --> surprisingly large number of 'resistant'There has been little research published,...

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