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COVID-19 UPDATE: Relief package + COVID rolling = stronger case for S&P 500 4,000 by early 2021. Rising violence in USA is 2021 Theme #5.

Click HERE to access the FSInsight COVID-19 Daily Chartbook.


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For this week, we are going to be publishing on a shortened holiday schedule:

Week of 12/27...
Monday 12/28
Tuesday 12/29
Wednesday 12/30
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STRATEGY: Signing of Relief Bill + COVID-19 rollover = stronger case for S&P 500 4,000 by early 2021
As many of you are aware, strong markets finish strong.  Thus, we see positive risk/reward for equities into YE and with strong follow through continuing through much of 1Q2021.  Seasonals are favorable at the moment, but add in:

- President Trump signs relief bill (better late than never)
- COVID-19 Wave 3 seems definitively rolling over
- Growing market skepticism of rally
- Seasonals

And this adds to a good environment for equities.  And Epicenter stocks are due for a catch-up trade.  In addition, our central case is equities will see a strong start in 2021 before an anticipated pause.  As shown below, we see stocks peaking at ~4,000 in Feb-April 2021.  So, with the S&P 500 at 3,725 currently, we see ~300 points of equity upside, or ~10%.

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Costco is making it easier to travel with COVID-19 test kits...This move by Costco and the Bermuda Tourism Authority is quite clever.  Costco is selling a...

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