Macro Strategy
- Intraday First Word
- First Word
PCE important Fri. Small-caps $IWM just generated a signal only seen 10 times since 1979 and almost always "early cycle" signal with 100% win-ratio 3M, 6M and 12M later (90% 1M).
VIDEO: Small-caps just generated a very important quantitative signal, moving >1% in 11 of the last 12 trading sessions. This has only happened at the start of a major advance for $IWM. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 05:09) https://vimeo. com/990326812/9b61574781? share=copy Since July 11th (June CPI), our stance is...
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: PCE important Fri. Small-caps $IWM just generated a signal only seen 10 times since 1979 and almost always "early cycle" signal with 100% win-ratio 3M, 6M and 12M later (90% 1M).
VIDEO: Small-caps just generated a very important quantitative signal, moving >1% in 11 of the last 12 trading sessions. This has only happened at the start of a major advance for $IWM. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 05:09) https://vimeo. com/990326812/9b61574781? share=copy _____________________________ 34 GRANNY SHOT IDEAS AND 42 SMID...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: The painful selloff Wed highlights that small-cap rotation is underway, we would buy the dip in "summer of small caps"
VIDEO: The selling Wednesday is overdone. And when the dust settles, we are buying the dip. But the more compelling case remains small-caps and we are...
First Word
Two key developments this week (so far). First, "technical confirmation" of the small-cap breakout and second, evidence this is funded by rotation out of large-caps.
VIDEO: The "summer of small caps" appears to be triggering a rotation out of large-cap as noted by Mark Newton, Head of Technical Strategy. Also, the...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Two key developments this week (so far). First, "technical confirmation" of the small-cap breakout and second, evidence this is funded by rotation out of large-caps.
VIDEO: The "summer of small caps" appears to be triggering a rotation out of large-cap as noted by Mark Newton, Head of Technical Strategy. Also, the...
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Existing home sales (Tue) to show housing in a recession, which inflects if Fed cuts in Sept. More support for "summer of small caps"
VIDEO: We discuss the importance of macro data this week, highlighting how many parts of the economy are in recession and would benefit from Fed cuts. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 03:45). https://vimeo. com/988588218/76fa347b5c? share=copy _____________________________ 34 GRANNY SHOT IDEAS AND 42 SMID GRANNY SHOT IDEAS: We performed our...
First Word
Important Earnings and macro week ahead. June PCE (Fri) likely to shift higher odds of both July and Sept cut. Supporting "summer of small cap" rally.
VIDEO: President Biden officially announced he is not seeking re-election. While there may not be major market implications, the odds of a Trump White House...
Macro Minute Video
Important earnings and macro week ahead. June PCE (Fri) likely to shift higher odds of both July and Sept cut. Supporting "summer of small cap" rally.
VIDEO: President Biden officially announced he is not seeking re-election. While there may not be major market implications, the odds of a Trump White House...
First Word
Summer of Small-cap intact. The -4% correction mirrors the Oct-Dec 2023 -5% correction. There was none after that.
VIDEO: The current small-cap rally is tracking the Oct-Dec 2023 rally closely, including the timing of this pullback. So, we remain confident this is the...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Summer of Small-cap intact. The -4% correction mirrors the Oct-Dec 2023 -5% correction. There was none after that.
VIDEO: The current small-cap rally is tracking the Oct-Dec 2023 rally closely, including the timing of this pullback. So, we remain confident this is the...
