First Word
January 2026 Top Large Cap and SMID Cap Core Stock Ideas Market Update
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: So far so good in 2026. Supreme Court could rule on tariffs this Friday
Video_: _The rule of first 5 days remains what we watch closely, but so far so good. The Friday Dec jobs report is likely similar...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: 2026 tracking positively on rule of "first 5 days" and S&P 500 closing above 6,845.50 by Jan 8 is key
Video_: _The rule of first 5 days, which is that how stocks do in the first week has influence on the full year, is strangely...
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First Word
Decent incoming data today. Trump reveals the "Trump rule" and the template for a dovish Fed in 2026
Equities gained again on Tuesday, as S&P 500 posted 5 consecutive gains and taking year-to-date gains to 18%. We continue to expect a positive bias...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: 6 blessings we are thankful for in 2025. And why the setup remains positive for Dec
Video_: _There are 6 blessings we are thankful for in 2025 and we think many of these carry over into 2026. Thus, we continue to...
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First Word
Wall of worry keeps growing given $ORCL and Venezuela. But the risk/reward still positive into year-end.
Equity markets are churning so far in December and stocks seem to feel "heavy" (meaning, it takes a lot to make a stock rise, but...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: This week is a heavy data week with Nov/Oct jobs and Nov CPI, and a weak jobs moves forward Fed "put" = good
Video_: _At the halfway point for December, equity markets are flat and we still expect a year-end rally towards S&P 500 7,000-7,300. There may be...
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Outlooks
2026 OUTLOOK (Lee): Wall of Skepticism + New Fed, S&P 500 Year-end 7,700
Video_: _Please tune into our 2026 Outlook webinar. At the start of 2025, we said markets had two "puts" -- the Fed and the White...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Dec FOMC rate decision, even if a "hawkish cut," still has bullish implications and is a clearing event
Video_: _We expect stocks to rally post-FOMC, despite what is widely expected to be a hawkish cut. That is, the Fed will likely raise the...
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First Word
A "hawkish cut" is consensus for Wed FOMC, but this is also a "market clearing" event, hence, December rally still intact.
We still expect the S&P 500 to finish 2025 achieving new all-time highs, reaching 7,000-7,300. But the path seems labored, and in the first days...
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