Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Market sees widespread derisking as dual risks of private credit and China-US tensions = no mas. But HY shows limited concern = buy the dip
Video_: _Today was a widespread derisking day, and momentum stocks have fallen -15% in 6D, the worst performance since early 2022. But to us, this...
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First Word
Heavy week for 3Q25 EPS earnings. Polymarket shows expectations rising for "softer" Sept CPI reading.
Video_: _Sept Core CPI is reported this Friday. The first govt "macro report" since the shutdown started, which means investors will put a lot of...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Heavy week for 3Q25 EPS earnings. Polymarket shows expectations rising for "softer" Sept CPI reading.
Video_: _Sept Core CPI is reported this Friday. The first govt "macro report" since the shutdown started, which means investors will put a lot of...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: October proving to be 'Up-tober' and CPI on tap for this friday
Video_: _We cite 5 reasons why this month is proving to be 'Up-tober' and notably, we think the risks of rising inflation remain low. The...
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First Word
VIX surge to 25 shows "fear" creeping in. AAII flips negative again, which we view as contrarian positive. We still see S&P 500 7,000 by year-end.
The S&P 500 is up +1.17% so far this week and down -0.9% for the month. Not bad. But the level of "apprehension" for equities...
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Macro Strategy
Video: Macro Minute: Fed Beige Book shows softening labor markets = dovish. Recent reports of private credit issues is not creating stress in high yield = good
Video_: _Equity markets continue to recover tentatively given rising tensions between US and China, and 3Q25 EPS season has been solid so far. Overall, we...
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