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Imperial College reduces their forecasts for UK deaths down by 96% to 20K from 500K

Recall a few weeks ago, there was a widely circulated Imperial College study, one which showed the US would see deaths of 2-6mm (Original study here) and unless the US quarantined everyone until a vaccine was met, there would be more deaths than all the wars combined. This is the reason the White House dramatically shifted strategies and basically shutdown the whole economy. As you are aware, we have shared that since that time, academics have questioned this study and argued that targeted and more strategic isolation is better. Well, it turns out those authors of the original study now revised DOWN their estimate of deaths by 96%.  For the UK, according to the article below. Yup, 96%.  Not 5%, not 10%, by 96%. POINT: Does this change anything? Yes it does.  Downside scenarios getting reduced odds, or eliminated... First, it suggests that the apocalypse scenarios that many clients are basing their risk positions upon is flawed--this is going to turn to risk on eventually. Second, it suggests that the US could sooner pursue "shutdown light" which is far less damaging to the economy and to the confidence of the consumer. Third, coupling these revised projections with a healthcare solution (looks like Chloroquine is working) points to "fear" among consumers abating soon.POINT...

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