Food for Thought...Trump Gonna Shock Everyone Again? But Trip to Iowa is Curious...

A lesson from 2016 is one underestimates DJT at their own peril. However, I find it curious that with only three weeks left he is going to Iowa. In 2016 he beat HRC by 10 points and carried 93 of the state’s 99 counties. While I question polls the best polls are the ones done by the campaigns. These are the polls that determine ad buys and candidate travel. Their internal polls must be showing trouble in Iowa to send him there.

Going to Iowa which he won by 10 points, strongest R showing since Reagan, winning 93 of 99 counties shows it is close.  They don’t want to make the mistake Clinton did and ignore states that they think they should win. But the fact that he needs to go to Iowa is interesting,

Trump often says prophetic things like shooting someone on 5th Ave.  He also said that people will get tired of winning under President Trump.  I think there is a chance that while not tired of winning, they may be getting tired of the constant stress created by the President, Trump fatigue.  Hard to measure but I have a gut feeling it could be an issue. 

20 days in politics is an eternity, next week’s debate could be a big moment.  I think Trump was hurt by the first debate, I think it contributed to Trump fatigue.  I think he will finish strong, and if there really is a gap as polling is indicating it can surely be closed.  Democrats always underestimated Reagan, and they don’t get Trump and always underestimate him.

Also see an interesting stat in a tweet from Ryan Detrick

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