COVID-19 UPDATE: USA + 18 nations set to "pull away" from Rest of World by mid-year. 1Q2021 Earnings driving +900bp jump in projected 2021 EPS growth to +32% (vs +23% in Jan)

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STRATEGY:  USA + 18 nations set to "pull away" from Rest of World by mid-year. 
In the past week, incoming news in the US was overall positive.  COVID-19 cases are legging down, apparently due to higher vaccine penetration.  And the US economy is on track for a strong revival, and full opening by mid-2021.  Earnings season so far is affirming this trajectory.  

- perhaps the most salient example this week is NY Gov Cuomo's announcement that NYC likely to see "full re-opening" by July 1


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Source: https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/coronavirus/ny-opens-all-mass-vaccine-sites-to-walk-ins-for-age-16-city-halfway-to-shot-goal/3026315/


And the best evidence for the progress in the US is the continuing substantial "leg down" in daily cases.  The 7D delta has been negative in the past 16 days. In the past few days, the decline has been stable at negative -8 to -10k per day. If this decline persists, we could see the daily cases drop sub-20k by mid-May.
  

The video in this report is only accessible to members
But this positive progress in the US has been achieved largely by vaccine penetration, moreso than behavior modification.  This is something that healthc...

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