First Word

Important week ahead, and we expect August CPI (9/13) of +0.20% core or less to further reduce odds of a Nov hike, a positive for equities. Even as UAW strike looms.

The video in this report is only accessible to members
The video in this report is only accessible to members

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We discuss: An important week lies ahead, most notably August CPI on 9/13 but also $AAPL debut and potential UAW strike.  That said, we still view Sept as front-loaded on softness and probabilities favor stocks rising after CPI.

Please click below to view today’s Macro Minute (Duration: 6:39).

The video in this report is only accessible to members
The video in this report is only accessible to members

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The S&P 500 is about where it was a month ago, 4,450 (plus or minus). In the first 3 trading days of September, equities fell 2.5% but have tread water in the last two days. In our view, there are a number of important events this week, which we expect to result in stocks managing to move higher from the lows seen on 9/7 (S&P 500 4,430).

This week has a big slate of data ahead. But of these, the most important is August CPI.- 9/11 11:00am ET: NY Fed 1-year inflation August- 9/12 1:00pm ET: Apple to debut iPhone 15- 9/13 8:30am ET: August CPI- 9/14 8:30am ET: August Retail Sales- 9/14 8:30am ET: August PPI- 9/14 11:59pm ET: UAW expected to go on strike- 9/15 10am ET: U Mich Consumer 1-yr inflation Sep. prelim The Street is looking for August Core CPI to co...

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