Economy can handle $100 oil but 10% equity drawdown poses greater impact = Fed put higher than people realize

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STRATEGY: Economy can handle $100 oil but 10% equity drawdown poses greater impact = Fed put higher than people realize

STRATEGY: Fed "put" arguably closer to a 10% drawdown in stocks today...
Fortunately, oil is taking a breather. After soaring to nearly $140 per barrel, oil has settled in just below $100. And the surge in the past month, as many know, is due to economic sanctions imposed by the US and western policymakers after the Russia-Ukraine invasion.

- And as we noted, this surge in commodities is essentially a massive fiscal tightening, driven by govt policy
- amplified on top of this is the 10% decline in stocks, which is amplified by the PEP effect, forced selling by oligarchs

But on the topic of oil, we can see that in the past decade, $100 oil was fairly common. This flies in the face of the pundits who say $100 oil is going to "break the economy" into recession.

- between 2010 to 2014, oil was routinely $100
- I don't recall calls for calamity due to this

The video in this report is only accessible to members
...data by tireless Ken shows on a "cost per barrel-basis" oil is cheaper than Diet Coke or Orange JuiceOil takes 100 million years to make. Fir...

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