Telegram
Fed Financial Stability Report Highlights Risks

Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell ironically probably felt a tinge of relief upon seeing the non-farm payrolls number. Why? Because it gives him cover to continue the course the Fed has been pursuing of near-zero rates and copious asset purchases Minneapolis Governor and PIMCO veteran Neel Kashkari commented in the wake of the jobs number that now was absolutely not the time to be raising rates. He also poignantly added that he has ‘zero sympathy’ for Wall Street critics of the Fed. We sincerely hope from the bottom of our hearts that he didn’t hurt any of your feelings or dash your expectations for sympathy.

This is all pretty well and good for the Fed given that by many other signs other than today’s jobs report the Economy is well within the stride of re-opening. First quarter productivity rose 5.4% which blew away the expectations of only 4.3%. US junk-bond yields dropped to an all-time low of 3.88% on Monday. Spreads hit their tightest level in well over a decade at (+289 bps). While the Fed got an immediate reprieve because of the jobs report, inflation expectations and bond vigilantes are unlikely to make the Central Bank’s life easy over the coming quarters as the economy continues to get red hot.

You are trying to access FSI member-only content.
You need to have an active FSI Macro, or FSI Pro subcription in order to read this article.
If you are already a member at FSInsight, please Sign In here. If you don’t have a subscription to FSInsight yet, you can sign up below.

Choose one of our yearly plans to save nearly 15%

We accept crypto via BitPay for yearly subscriptions.
    • Macro
      FSI Macro
      from
      $
      199
      /mo
      billed anually
      Get access to all the macro research on FSInsight
      • Tom Lee's First Word
      • View from Tom Lee
      • Signal From Noise
      • Portfolio Strategy
      • Technical Analysis
      • Granny Shots – Stock Ideas
      • US Policy
      • Live Conference Calls with Q&A
      First Month Free!
    • Crypto
      FSI Digital Assets
      from
      $
      99
      /mo
      billed anually
      Get access to all the crypto research on FSInsight
      • Crypto Blasts
      • Tom's Take on Crypto
      • Crypto Weekly Newsletter
      • BitDigest Daily Newsletter
      • Crypto Technical Analysis
      • Benchmark Indices Review
      • Bitcoin Valuation & Misery Indexes
      • Live Conference Calls with Q&A
      First Month Free!
    • Macro + Crypto
      FSI Pro
      from
      $
      249
      /mo
      billed anually
      Get access to all the exclusive research on FSInsight
      • Looking at code?
      • I am hidden!
      • FSI Macro
      • +
      • FSI Digital Assets
      • Designed by
      • HANGAR115
      • -
      First Month Free!

More from the author

Disclosures (show)

Want to receive Regular Market Updates to your Inbox?

I am your default error :)
FSInsight logo
150 East 52nd St, 3rd Floor, New York, NY 10022

Subscribe to our Free Weekly Report

An insitutional-grade report delivered to your inbox every week.

© 2021 FSInsight. All rights reserved. Developed by HANGAR115.

Illustrations by Karl Wimer.