Crypto Research
705 Results
BTC RECAPTURES A KEY TECHNICAL THRESHOLD ACCELERATING ABOVE ITS WIDELY MONITORED 200-DMA. BTC surged above a key resistance level at its 200-dma toward its next resistance near 9K coinciding with a 76.4% retracement of the Q1 decline and the early March highs at 9.2K. _GIVEN DAILY RSI AND THE 4-HOUR RSI HAVE NOW MOVED INTO OVERBOUGHT TERRITORY, OUR EXPECTATION IS FOR A SHORT-TERM PAUSE PULLBACK TO DEVELOP WITH FIRST SUPPORT...
PORTFOLIO STRATEGY Bitcoin and crypto markets have had a very strong week. We expect the strength could very likely continue over the next week and a half as we approach the Bitcoin halving on May 12th. If you are a longer term investor without crypto exposure, this is still not a bad time to be dipping your toe in the water and gaining that initial allocation, but be comfortable with...
CRYPTOCURRENCIES HAVE CONSOLIDATED THROUGH APRIL SIMILAR TO OTHER RISK ASSETS -Major cryptocurrencies stalled over the past two weeks following rebounds into resistance levels near declining 50-dma’s. This behavior is similar to what developed in many risk assets, notably equities where cyclical indices, such as the Russell 2000, have stalled in sideways trading ranges heading into last week’s option expiration. HOWEVER, SIGNS OF IMPROVEMENT FOR BTC TAKING HOLD - BTC, for...
PORTFOLIO STRATEGY These are strange times. Very, very strange times indeed. Oil markets have gone mad. At least that’s what I’d think if I’d only looked at the price, which plunged as low as -$37.63. Although, I’m strangely unsurprised given the macro backdrop, I must admit the situation interesting. However, I’m not here to talk about _BLACK GOLD_, I’m here to talk about DIGITAL GOLD, and by that, I mean...
WHAT’S CHANGING TECHNICALLY FOR CRYPTO CURRENCIES? After rebounding from deeply oversold levels in March, most cryptocurrencies are stalling under technical resistance coinciding with declining 50- and 200-dma’s. Given the long-term uptrend for BTC remains intact, our expectation is for the current pullback to be relatively shallow over the coming 1-2 weeks. BTC STALLING UNDER DECLINING 50- AND 200-DMA’S BTC is stalling short-term under heavy technical resistance between 7-8K which coincides...
Readers Note: The crypto weekly newsletter was not published last Friday due to the Easter holiday and has been moved to today instead. PORTFOLIO STRATEGY Crypto markets have seen price swings over past weeks, but despite the choppiness, markets have largely ended where we left them in prior weeks with Bitcoin sitting around $6,900 today. CRYPTO ALLOCATION: For this reason, our tactical crypto exposure recommendations haven’t changed since our last...
PORTFOLIO STRATEGY Howard Marks, the CIO of Oak Tree Capital said something this past week that caught my attention: _“THERE’S NO ARGUMENT FOR SPENDING ALL YOUR MONEY NOW, BUT THERE’S ALSO NO ARGUMENT FOR NOT SPENDING ANY.” _ In many respects, this statement summarizes my continued view on the crypto markets. We’ve been recommending investors have exposure to the crypto markets for the past few months. Following the recent sell...
BTC – A VOLATILE WEEK BUT HOLDING KEY TREND SUPPORT AT THE 15-DMA WITH POTENTIAL TO CHALLENGE 7K Despite all the macro volatility spillover across markets, BTC’s short-term technical setup is improving with the potential to challenge and break-out above formidable trading resistance near 7K. After a roller coast ride over the past two weeks that included stalling under 7K resistance on 3/20 through 3/26, hitting an air pocket and...
PORTFOLIO STRATEGY It continues to be our view that crypto markets are in the 2nd or 3rd innings of a prolonged recovery following their December 2018 bottom. The earlier months sell off likely flushed a significant portion of leverage and speculative short term traders out of the ecosystem, as we discussed on our FS Insight Digital Assets call earlier this week. This dynamic bodes well for reducing market downside risks...