XRP Not Deemed a Security, Polygon Proposes "Polygon 2.0"

Jul 13, 2023

Market Update

  • Crypto markets are sharply rising after a judge has ruled that Ripple’s sales of $XRP do not constitute an offer of investment contracts. $XRP is up 35% following the announcement, and $BTC (+2.41%) has surpassed $31k and $ETH (+3.46%) is nearing $1,950. $MATIC (+9.80%) is outperforming today after a proposal was submitted to make MATIC a multipurpose token used to validate multiple blockchains. The proposal would have the token rebranded to $POL and would span all the Polygon protocols including Polygon PoS, zkEVM, and Supernets. The below figure shows the potential new architecture for “Polygon 2.0.” Traditional markets are rallying after this morning’s PPI data came in lower than expected, coinciding with yesterday’s soft CPI data, easing inflation fears. The $SPY and $QQQ have risen 0.51% and 0.97%, respectively while the $DXY (-0.58%) has fallen below $100 for the first time since Spring of last year.

  • Google Play has shifted its stance on incorporating digital assets into apps listed on its store. They announced yesterday that they will now allow developers to integrate things like NFTs into games and apps. The policy change will enable unique features for developers, such as NFT loyalty programs or digital ownership of in-game assets. Companies choosing to integrate tokenized assets will need to clearly state in the Play Console that blockchain elements are included in the app. Additionally, all Google Play apps must continue meeting the marketplace’s gambling requirements, meaning games cannot incorporate features such as “loot boxes” or lotteries. Users can expect to see some preliminary changes implemented towards the end of the summer, and then the policy will be fully unveiled later this year.
  • Alex Mashinsky, the co-founder of Celsius, was arrested on Thursday after the collapse of the crypto lender sparked an investigation by the US Department of Justice. Mashinsky, along with others, were charged with various crimes, including securities fraud, commodities fraud, wire fraud, and conspiracy to manipulate Celsius’ token. In addition to the criminal charges against Mashinsky and other executives, Celsius was sued separately by the SEC, CFTC, and FTC. The SEC lawsuit alleges that Celsius committed securities fraud, while the CFTC lawsuit alleges Celsius is guilty of commodities fraud and failing to register as a Commodity Pool Operator. In regards to the FTC lawsuit, Celsius reached a settlement permanently banning the company from handling consumer assets and includes $4.7 billion in fines. The fines will be suspended to permit Celsius to return any remaining assets to creditors involved in the bankruptcy proceedings.

Daily Technical Strategy

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Mark L. Newton, CMT

Head of Technical Strategy

$ETHBTC looks to be bottoming, and Thursday's gains to multi-day highs should allow for the start of outperformance in Ethereum to Bitcoin in the days and weeks to come. Daily $ETHBTC charts show some encouraging signs of stabilization recently following nearly a one-month slide lower throughout the month of June. Movement up above 0.064 looks likely in the days ahead, which should drive ETHBTC up to 0.071 which is the first real area of importance. On any successful move over 0.071, this would argue for a much larger rally, which at present, can't be projected right away. Overall, this week's price action makes it right to favor Ethereum over Bitcoin, and higher prices look likely for ETHBTC.

Daily Important Metrics

Crypto Size

Bullish signal is tied to the crypto market growing

Market cap $1.19T $-3.3B (-0.28%)
BTC Dominance
49.87% (-0.28%)
Stablecoins

Increase in circulating stablecoins is a Bullish signal

In Circulation $83B(+0.01%)
In Exchanges $13B(-0.31%)
BTC Metrics

A decrease in Bitcoin on exchanges is bullish, indicates investors are moving coins to cold storage

# BTC in Exchanges 2.3M(0.05%)
Funding Rates

Positive funding rates indicate traders are Bullish

Aggregate0.18 (-0.51)
Binance0.19 (-0.78)
Bitfinex1.43 (0.09)
Bitmex0.05 (-0.71)
ByBit0.52 (-0.41)
Deribit0.05 (-1.03)
Huobi-1.37 (-0.37)
Kraken1.32 (-1.06)
Mean0.18 (-0.51)
OKex-0.16 (0.06)
Sentiment
XRP Not Deemed a Security, Polygon Proposes Polygon 2.0

BMI : 37 (23%)

Futures

A positive spread between Futures Prices and Spot Prices is Bullish

CME BTC Price$31,295 (2.37%)
Spot Basis
$337 (1.09%)
Volume861,590 (40%)
Open Interest
332,325 (3.18%)
Options all exchanges

Higher open interest change in a bull market is bullish for the sector

Volume30,086 (129%)
Open Interest294,947 (2.95%)
Volume Put/Call Ratio0.4540 (6.26%)
Open Interest Put/Call Ratio0.4416 (0.48%)

All metrics as of July 13, 2023 12:17 PM

All Funding rates are in bps

Crypto Prices

Symbol Market Cap Last Price Daily Change Year to Date Relative to BTC YTD
btc imageBTC
$599B $30,856 1.16% 86%
btc imageETH
$234B $1,947 3.41% 62% -24%
btc imageADA
$11B $0.3161 9.32% 28% -58%
btc imageDOGE
$9.7B $0.0692 6.86% -1.36% -88%
btc imageMATIC
$7.5B $0.8032 10% 5.39% -81%
btc imageDOT
$6.5B $5.37 4.02% 24% -63%
btc imageLINK
$3.6B $6.64 6.68% 20% -67%
btc imageNEAR
$1.3B $1.41 5.21% 11% -75%
btc imageSOL
$671 $0.0000 0.00% -100% -186%

Exchange Traded Products (ETPs)

Symbol Premium to Nav Last Price Daily Change Year to Date Relative to BTC YTD
GBTC -26% $20.45 3.81% 147% 60%
BITW -55% $11.75 0.51% 119% 33%
ETHE -44% $10.46 4.91% 120% 33%
BTCC 0.25% $5.69 2.15% 88% 1.53%

News

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Blockchain Infrastructure Startup Artela Raises $6 Million in Seed Round, Led by Shima Capital

[Press Release – Fremont, United States, July 12th, 2023] Artela’s team is on a mission to extend the boundaries of decentralized applications Artela is announc...

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