Rocket Pool
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A NOSEDIVE IN VOLATILITY Equities are not the only asset class undergoing a noticeable decline in volatility. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum are following a similar path. Over the past two months, there has been a significant decrease in the implied volatilities of these blue chip cryptoassets, especially following the fallout from the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) crisis and the subsequent rally in prices following the Federal Reserve’s intervention. The sense...
Bitcoin (BTC -2.53% ) and the broader crypto market are staging a recovery after a week of bearish price action, with altcoins facing particularly excessive pressure. Bitcoin has successfully bounced off its key 200-week moving average around $25,800 and is now hovering around $27,400. Ethereum (ETH -2.00% ), meanwhile, remains stable above the $1,820 level. Notable standout performers include altcoin LDO -2.79% , up 12% on the day, potentially driven by improved withdrawal capabilities and short...
LOOKS LIKE A PAUSE The Federal Reserve approved its 10th interest rate increase in just over a year, raising the Fed funds rate by 0.25 percentage points to a target range of 5%-5.25%. Many interpreted the Fed's comments as signaling a potential pause in the tightening cycle, mainly due to the removal of a sentence in the post-meeting statement. The statement no longer mentioned that "the Committee anticipates that some...
ETH MOVING SHANGHIGHER As we mentioned last week, the market was overly pessimistic regarding the supply-side effects of the upcoming Ethereum staking withdrawals. Factors such as existing liquidity for most stakers, withdrawal queue limitations, and a market that de-risked in anticipation of the Shapella upgrade all helped to reduce the likelihood of a sudden supply overhang. With this in mind, it seemed reasonable to expect an ETHBTC rally in the...
Investors are bracing for a week of critical economic data, including CPI and PPI data for March, which will be released on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively. Investor concerns about the possibility of another rate hike rose following Friday's robust employment data. Nonfarm payrolls saw an increase of 236,000, close to the Dow Jones estimate of 238,000, while the unemployment rate dropped to 3.5%. In addition to economic data, major banks,...
SHAPELLA ARRIVES We are now less than a week away from staking withdrawals being enabled on the Ethereum network. We have been discussing this topic frequently throughout our research, but to reiterate, we maintain that the market is overly pessimistic about the supply-side effects of this event. To reiterate the key points behind our rationale:LIQUIDITY ACCESS FOR MOST STAKERS: Approximately 60% of the staked ETH is through liquid staking providers...
After a choppy weekend, BTC -2.53% and ETH -2.00% are flat on the day, down 0.68% and up 0.06%, respectively. SPX is down 0.02% at the time of writing, and NDQ is down 0.92%. Most altcoins have underperformed BTC and ETHâSOL -2.23% is down 1.32%, OP -4.85% is down 1.82%, and ATOM -3.15% is down 1.12%. Ethereum Layer 2, Arbitrum, was hit the hardest this weekend after the team backtracked on a governance proposal (which...
BOND VOLATILITY MOVING LOWER IS GOOD FOR LIQUIDITY Over the past few weeks, we have discussed how the ongoing banking crisis, the Fed's language shift and easing monetary policies from major central banks have led to increased net liquidity in the U.S. and higher global USD liquidity. _Source: Bloomberg, Fundstrat_ One risk that these absolute liquidity levels face is a negation by the Fed’s reverse repo facility. The Reverse Repo...
Crypto markets seem to be taking yesterday's Binance news in stride, with BTC -2.53% down just 0.40% today at time of writing and ETH -2.00% up 1.88%. SPX and NDQ were down 0.10% and 0.63%, respectively. Interestingly, the ETH/BTC ratio appears to be stabilizing ahead of the Shanghai withdrawals on April 12th. ETH/BTC was up 2.33% today and nearly 4% from last week's low. Today's outperformers include liquid staking derivatives LDO -2.79% and...
DOVISH FED STATEMENT On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve raised the target Fed Funds rate range by 25 basis points (BPS), marking the ninth increase in just over a year. The FOMC statement hinted at a nearing end to rate hikes by removing the reference to "ongoing increases." According to the FOMC's updated forecast, there will be one more rate increase this year, and officials expect slower economic growth in 2023...