As we flipped the calendar from 2020 to 2021, investors were more than happy to leave the Year of the Rat and optimistically shift towards a return to normalcy and better times ahead in the Year of the Ox, which is close enough to a bull for us. January saw any unusual events like the unprecedented spectacle that occurred on 1/6 at the US Capitol, a transition of power in Washington DC, retail investors attempting to battle the Hedge Fund community, and the return to the Super Bowl of Tom Brady as the oldest quarterback to get back to the big game.

The combination of these things along with many other headline news items contributed to the S&P rallying over 4% but then ending January down 1%. Many had feared that this was the beginning of a large correction in equity prices. I was not one of those as my work suggested otherwise.

Thus, the weakness that occurred during the last week of January is likely over. My most aggressive tactical indicators have now flipped back to short-term bullish. Remaining above 3820 keeps me tactically bullish. I will be on alert for a downward move below 3800, which would be problematic and likely cause my models to shift back to tactically cautious/unfavorable.

The trade based on our research is to be back in offense, mostly Value/Cycl...

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