COVID-19 UPDATE: Watch Israel vaccine progress. Investors not as bullish you think, otherwise, why is VIX so high?

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STRATEGY: Investors not as bullish you think, otherwise, why is VIX so high?
31% rise in US vaccinations in the past 24 hours... IMPRESSIVE
Vaccinations in the US are ramping up.  As shown below, +579,632 doses were administered in the past 24 hours.  This is a 31% rise in the daily doses administered.  This is impressive, and as noted previously, if this rate reaches 1 million per day, the US could reach that 30% of citizens vaccinated by early April.

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Israel's daily COVID-19 cases might be the MOST IMPORTANT CHART IN THE WORLD
The vaccines have proven effective in trials, but the "real world" test is whether the infections slow after a region has vaccinated >30% or more of its residents.  The nation to watch is Israel.  As the data below shows, the % of citizens vaccinated is 17% (up from 6% a week ago) and is on course to hit 30% within 2 weeks.

This is the real test:
- cases in Israel should begin to slow dramatically in the coming weeks
- if cases slow, we see a roadmap for the end of the pandemic
- if cases do not slow, yikes!!!

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Stocks on track to finish the first week strong...Markets are wrapping up their first full week of 2021...

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