“If you know your enemy and you know yourself, your victory will not be in doubt.” ~ Sun Tzu

There seems to be widespread agreement that the horrific attacks on Israel on October 7, 2023 could only have taken place after a catastrophic intelligence failure. The attacks were so numerous and varied that they required months of planning, the involvement of many people, and the procurement of significant quantities of weapons and equipment – the coordination of which would have required extensive communication and funding. The consensus is that much of this should have been noticed by Israeli intelligence, enough to provide sufficient warning to the country’s military and policymakers.

The fact that Israel appears to have been taken unaware surprised many who had long seen Israel’s intelligence capabilities as among the best in the world. This assessment of failure comes from many experts in the field, perhaps none more qualified to comment than Major General Aharon Haliva, head of the Israeli Defense Force’s Military Intelligence Directorate, also known as Aman. “The beginning of the war was an intelligence failure,” Maj. Gen. Haliva said in a communication with subordinates. “The Military Intelligence Directorate, under my command, failed to warn of the ter...
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