COVID-19 UPDATE: Phew. Daily cases flat/down last 2 days. Policymakers are not panicking about wave 3, because there is nothing to panic about yet

Click HERE to access the FSInsight COVID-19 Daily Chartbook.

STRATEGY: Stimulus is singular focus next 48 hours.  HY Defaults peaked? = Risk-on
As we start a new trading week, I would view weekend developments as mostly positive both on COVID-19 and on fiscal stimulus.  COVID-19 daily cases seem to have broken trend over the past two days, being flat/down compared to the intensifying gains seen in the prior 10 days.  So, is this a merely statistical aberration (WI did not report over the weekend) or are we hitting that "peak velocity" of cases that typically spur action?  I am not sure, but a break in trend is a good thing, nevertheless.  

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Source: Fundstrat and COVID-19 Tracking Project


But the far bigger story is it looks like fiscal stimulus is in the "short strokes" (golf analogy) and the House giving the White House 48 hours to agree to a deal.  While this might sound like an impossible task, this is also giving us some finality.

- So for the next 48 hours, the only thing equity markets will focus on is fiscal stimulus

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Source: NY PostBut this package is way overdue.  With benefits ending and the economy still not fully opened, millions of Americans need a financial bridge.  As this USA Today story headlines, 6 mi...

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