"inflationism" bubble is bursting. Breadth ATH. Equities to take cues from bonds (signaling "disinflation") not pundits ("bear rally"). Inflation cooling = we expect ATH before YE

Breadth in this rally is breathtaking = ATH coming

There are many who quibble with the rally since June, citing this as "short covering" or a "garbage rally" -- but market internals are arguing the opposite. There are several ways to see this but take a look at the advance/decline line below:

  • As noted by Mark Newton, our Head of Technical Strategy
  • S&P 500 advance/decline line hit an all-time high today
  • this is a sign of a massive expansion in market breadth/participation
  • moreover, since 1950, every ATH in A/D has been followed by a new all-time high in the S&P 500
  • yup, this strengthens the case for S&P 500 to exceed 4,800 before YE
The video in this report is only accessible to members

% stocks >50-day moving average now 90% = further expansion of market breadth

Our clients might recall on the morning of June 17, 2022, we noted that market internals had collapsed to levels seen around prior lows:

  • we called this "equities become no bid"
  • % S&P 500 stocks >50D was only 2%, or a mere 9 stocks, and only 4 more needed to fall to match March 23, 2020 and Dec 24, 2018 lows
  • as of June 16, just 4 more stocks needed to fall further and on June 17th, those stocks fell
The video in this report is only accessible to members
Take a look at the updated chart below. Today, this figure has now surged to >90%. Think of this as a measure ...

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