Treasury yields likely to bounce further after hitting support Array ( [cookie] => 853b76-bde113-cf96c0-d17a4c-022f9e [current_usage] => 2 [max_usage] => 2 [current_usage_crypto] => 0 [max_usage_crypto] => 2 [lock] => 1 [message] => [error] => [active_member] => 0 [subscriber] => 0 [role] => [visitor_id] => 131088 [user_id] => [reason] => [method] => ) 1 and can accesss
Given the degree of sideways trading in Equities over the last week, the real focus should be on what’s happening in Foreign Exchange (FX) as well as Treasuries. US 10-Yr Yields look to have found good initial support near 2.70%, a meaningful support level coinciding with lows over the last few months. Following a stronger than expected JOLTS & ISM reports, rates turned back higher Wednesday morning, and I expect this is a rebound that likely continues in the weeks to come. Many have “thrown in the towel” on the idea of further selloffs in Treasuries given recessionary fears resurfacing. While I agree that yields likely do move lower between July and September, I don’t share the vision that rates have definitely peaked for the year. Current technicals suggest that a retest if not brief move above June highs very well might happen ahead of a larger pullback. 3.00% is a very important level for TNX on a bounce. Getting over this would tilt the odds that 3.483% will be tested and briefly exceeded into late July.
Commodity breakdown should extend given intermediate-term trend break
While some rightly acknowledge that the economy could be undergoing more of a slowdown than entering an imminent recession right away given the less negative economic data Wednesday, the downtrend in commodities seems to be picking up speed.


Become a Member To Access FS Insight Research
FS Insight gives individual investors access to Tom Lee's research, previously only available to banks and hedge funds.
|
|||
Join Now |
|
|||
Join Now |
What's included in your FSI Membership?

Thomas J. Lee
Head of Research
Type | Publication | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Monthly | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Reports |
First Word The best market research out there -- on a near-daily basis. |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
||||
Intraday Alerts These are released periodically after crucial market developments. |
Real-Time | |||||||
Weekly Roadmap Weekly summary of market events and updates on our key theses. |
![]() |
|||||||
Webinars & Videos |
Macro Minute Video Daily video commentary on market conditions & key events. |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
|||
Outlook Webinars We host over 12 LIVE webinars per year with our research team and high-profile special guests. Incredible value and market insights! |
Yearly | |||||||
Granny Shots Webinars |
![]() |
|||||||
CEO Interview Webinars | Quarterly | |||||||
Appearances Archive | Real-Time | |||||||
Allocation Tools |
"Super Granny" Shots Stock List Granny Shots we expect to tactically outperform and underperform. |
![]() |
||||||
Granny Shots Stock List Thematic investment stock picks that aim to outperform the S&P 500. |
![]() |
|||||||
Sector Allocation A sector allocation strategy that is designed to outperform the S&P 500 while taking minimal risk. |
![]() |
|||||||
Market Alerts |
⚡️FlashInsights Real-time market commentary about macro and crypto events from our research heads. |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
Real-Time |

Mark L. Newton
Head of Technical Strategy
Type | Publication | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Monthly | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Reports |
Daily Technical Strategy Daily commentary on market trends and short term opportunities. |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
||
Weekly Roadmap Weekly summary of market events and updates on our key theses. |
![]() |
|||||||
Webinars & Videos |
Daily Technical Strategy Daily commentary on market trends and short term opportunities. |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
||
Live Technical Analysis |
![]() |
|||||||
Outlook Webinars We host over 12 LIVE webinars per year with our research team and high-profile special guests. Incredible value and market insights! |
Yearly | |||||||
Appearances Archive | Real-Time | |||||||
Allocation Tools |
Newton's Upticks Stock List Technically derived, intermediate-term picks of attractive risk/reward opportunities from the S&P 500. |
![]() |
||||||
Market Alerts |
⚡️FlashInsights Real-time market commentary about macro and crypto events from our research heads. |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |

L. Thomas Block
Washington Policy Strategy
Type | Publication | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Monthly | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Reports |
US Policy Weekly update on developments in Washington DC and how they may impact Wall Street. |
![]() |
![]() |
|||||
Weekly Roadmap Weekly summary of market events and updates on our key theses. |
![]() |
|||||||
Market Alerts |
⚡️FlashInsights Real-time market commentary about macro and crypto events from our research heads. |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
Real-Time |


Sean Farrell & Crypto Team
Type | Publication | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Monthly | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Reports |
Market Update Stay on top of the crypto markets with macro commentary, technical analysis, and the most relevant news. |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
||
Weekly Strategy Weekly summary of market events and updates on our key theses. |
![]() |
|||||||
Funding Fridays Are you looking for investment opportunities in the crypto space? We explore early-stage crypto opportunities in this note about where the smart money is being invested! |
![]() |
|||||||
Crypto Concepts We periodically provide in-depth research on the leading protocols, companies, and funds shaping the crypto ecosystem. |
![]() |
|||||||
Liquid Ventures A recurring research note focused on delivering unique insights into high-risk investment opportunities within the crypto ecosystem, primarily centered on early-stage or small-cap tokens. |
![]() |
|||||||
Deep Research We periodically provide in-depth research on the leading protocols, companies, and funds shaping the crypto ecosystem. |
Quarterly | |||||||
Weekly Roadmap Weekly summary of market events and updates on our key theses. |
![]() |
|||||||
Webinars & Videos |
Outlook Webinars Ongoing webinars exploring crypto opportunities, in depth research, and exclusive research offerings from our team of analysts and leading cryptocurrency firms. |
Yearly | ||||||
Crypto Comments |
Daily Technical Strategy From Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana to other coins, our Head of Technical Strategy highlights important price movement to help give you an edge. |
![]() |
||||||
Allocation Tools |
Crypto Core Strategy A powerful tool designed to help crypto investors build a crypto portfolio that outperforms the industry’s king – bitcoin – regardless of market conditions. |
![]() |
||||||
Market Alerts |
⚡️FlashInsights Real-time market commentary about macro and crypto events from our research heads. |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
Real-Time |

FS Insight Research Team
Type | Publication | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Monthly | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Reports | First to Market |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
||
*Earnings Daily This note provides investors with a myriad of useful metrics to measure the progress of earnings season |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
|||
Signal From Noise Highlights timely market themes and sectors with corresponding stocks, cutting through the day-to-day market “noise” for a distinct perspective. |
![]() |
|||||||
Community Questions We gather your inquiries and answer them in the most scalable way. Hear directly from our research principals! |
![]() |
|||||||
FS Insight Academy Our main goal is to make you a better investor! This series will guide you through key financial concepts and topics in an understandable way. |
![]() |
|||||||
Webinars & Videos |
Free Macro Webinars Live webinars and Q&A with our research team and high-profile industry leaders. |
Quarterly | ||||||
Free Crypto Webinars Live webinars and Q&A with our research team and high-profile industry leaders. |
Quarterly |
*Daily reporting during each quarterly earnings season.