Recent cadence of data shows inflation risks cooling = half-full arguments gaining traction. TA Newton believes Bitcoin has bottomed = good for equities

Inflation remains top priority of policymakers

The White House and Fed met Tuesday and this is the first meeting since Powell was re-confirmed. The takeaways from this meeting are not entirely surprising and President Biden noted that he will give the Fed the necessary independence to fight inflation.

  • per Biden "I agree with their assessment that fighting inflation is our top economic challenge right now"
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And naturally, this remains a primary focus for markets. In fact, Eurozone reported inflation figures yesterday and inflation (HIPEC) came in at 8.1% YoY, above expectations. This figure is equivalent to the US "headline CPI" and includes food and energy. The "harmonized" figure (sort of ex-food/energy) is +5.7% YoY. Still uncomfortably high.

  • similar to US concerns, investors fret that inflation will remain sticky
  • hence, not only are investors focused on a peak in the rate of inflation, but also the pace that inflation weakens
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US incoming data points point to cooling inflation

As our clients know, there is a growing constellation of incoming data points that show inflationary pressures in the US are peaking. We highlighted a few over the past few days, but the evidence of cooling inflation is br...

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