Buyer's strike = busted tape. Nasdaq underperformance so bad, since 1985 = future relative gains

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Russia escalation by cutting off gas supplies to Poland and Bulgaria rattles markets...

Markets are still rattled by war headlines. Russia announced plans to cut natural gas supplies to Poland. Russia is following through on its demands that gas supplies be paid in Rubles. And this appears in retaliation for Poland providing escalating support to Ukraine in the war efforts. And generally, this highlights the dependency and vulnerability of Europe to Russian energy resources.

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In fact, this infographic by the FT (thanks for flagging Chris Robb) shows the European nations most dependent on Russian imports of natural gas and oil. The easternmost nations in Europe are almost entirely dependent on Russian gas and oil.

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While this seems to be a catalyst for furthering the "buyer's strike" in equities, this does not change the overall case for S&P 500 TINA (there is no alternative). That is, there are two dimensions of TINA:

  • Stocks over bonds: given inflationary pressures + Fed hawkishness = stocks TINA
  • USA vs rest of World: war risks + China COVID + US resilience = USA TINA
In other words, the S&P 500 remains the "cleanest dirty s...

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