An est. $800 billion capital gains taxes paid by 4/18/2022 = selling pressure alleviating later this week?


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Monday April 18th is tax day, and for many investors, it is a painful day

Monday April 18th is the IRS regular tax filing deadline. And for those taxpayers with capital gains, a painful day for the wallet. We believe tax day this year could be particularly painful for most Americans, because of 3 factors:

  • 2021 equity returns were exceptional, with S&P 500 rising 29%, 3 consecutive years of ~20%-plus gains
  • Equity ownership in USA is the among the highest ever
  • Crypto taxable gains are being more carefully checked by IRS and crypto market grew by >$1 trillion in 2021 = big tax bite

On equity, returns up ~20%-plus for 3 consecutive years means investors have substantial capital gains and likely few capital losses. Thus the tax bite is higher. And the pain is wider spread because household ownership of equities is greater (more Americans) and the share of total wealth is high as well.


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...IRS Statistics of Income shows capital gains (latest is tax year 2012)

I was wondering how big a tax bite this might represent. The IRS publishes a report called SOI, of Statistics of Income, and this shows a detailed breakdown of aggregate capital gains. Unfortunately, the most r...

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