Equities arguably priced yield curve inversion + 4 other "wall of worries" --> Previous "recession scares": 8 of 9 times, Technology leads = FAANG

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STRATEGY: Equities arguably priced yield curve inversion + 4 other "wall of worries" --> Previous "recession scares": 8 of 9 times, Technology leads

Stocks rising despite concrete and logical headwinds = hence, consensus bearish but tape "whispering"
There are many well-reasoned, tangible, concrete and known risks to the US and global economic expansion. And these issues will not be a "rear view" mirror item for 4-6 months:

- surging commodity prices
- risk of Russia-Ukraine war expanding to engulf rest of World
- COVID-19 disruptions
- yield curve inversions
- Fed in "full blown hawk mode"

At the core of these is these lead to an unappealing trade-off between inflation and "kill growth" for policymakers and have been shown to drive recessions. And the best case is a "soft landing" for the economy, which seems like a bad consolation prize. These are real issues and something that our research at Fundstrat, by...

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