COVID-19 UPDATE: F-CAT takes a pause from parabolic rise (tho AZ missing 80% of tests today). AR and MO past parabolic peak, even w/o masks and w/o course correcting

This is one of the most depressing headlines I have read since the start of this pandemic.  The "CDC says the U.S. has 'way too much virus' to control pandemic" -- and many Americans feel this way.  The COVID-19 virus is spreading at an alarming rate across the U.S. and the exact cause is not entirely clear.



https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/29/cdc-says-us-has-way-too-much-virus-to-control-pandemic-as-cases-surge-across-country.html?__source=twitter%7Cmain


But as the saying goes, the "exception proves the rule" and I am using it in a convoluted sense.  Diseases reach a "break point" which does not mean the same thing as "herd immunity."  What I mean to say is that COVID-19 spread can begin to slow sharply even without infecting 100% or 60% of its residents.  Two examples I want to cite:

- First, NY/NJ continue to see an utter collapse in cases
- Second, Arkansas and Missouri, which were among the most liberally open states, no mask policy and saw a parabolic surge in cases since late-May have both seen a pronounced downturn in cases


Take a look at the daily reported cases for NY/NJ.

                          today       1D ago      Delta
New York             391   vs    616        -225
New Jersey           90    vs   309        -219

As for AR and MO, neither state "course corrected" and continued to move forward with openings.  So, like F-CAT, these states saw massive rises in cases after late-May (aligns with BLM protests).  And as you can see, their case figures have improved in recent days.  Arkansas peak in daily cases is >2 weeks ago on 6/12/2020.  Thus, these exceptions "prove the rule" (we realize it is not the most appropriate use of the phrase, but you get the picture).

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