COVID-19 UPDATE: F-CAT takes a pause from parabolic rise (tho AZ missing 80% of tests today). AR and MO past parabolic peak, even w/o masks and w/o course correcting Array ( [cookie] => 2a48e8-f3cdc2-6703b3-879602-deeeba [current_usage] => 2 [max_usage] => 2 [current_usage_crypto] => 2 [max_usage_crypto] => 2 [lock] => 1 [message] => [error] => [active_member] => 1 [subscriber] => 0 [role] => fsi_macro [visitor_id] => 567896 [reason] => [method] => ) 1
This is one of the most depressing headlines I have read since the start of this pandemic. The "CDC says the U.S. has 'way too much virus' to control pandemic" -- and many Americans feel this way. The COVID-19 virus is spreading at an alarming rate across the U.S. and the exact cause is not entirely clear.
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/29/cdc-says-us-has-way-too-much-virus-to-control-pandemic-as-cases-surge-across-country.html?__source=twitter%7Cmain
But as the saying goes, the "exception proves the rule" and I am using it in a convoluted sense. Diseases reach a "break point" which does not mean the same thing as "herd immunity." What I mean to say is that COVID-19 spread can begin to slow sharply even without infecting 100% or 60% of its residents. Two examples I want to cite:
- First, NY/NJ continue to see an utter collapse in cases
- Second, Arkansas and Missouri, which were among the most liberally open states, no mask policy and saw a parabolic surge in cases since late-May have both seen a pronounced downturn in cases
Take a look at the daily reported cases for NY/NJ.
today 1D ago Delta
New York 391 vs 616 -225
New Jersey 90 vs 309 -219
As for AR and MO, neither state "course corrected" and continued to move forward with openings. So, like F-CAT, these states saw massive rises in cases after late-May (aligns with BLM protests). And as you can see, their case figures have improved in recent days. Arkansas peak in daily cases is >2 weeks ago on 6/12/2020. Thus, these exceptions "prove the rule" (we realize it is not the most appropriate use of the phrase, but you get the picture).
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