COVID-19 remains a global crisis and we realize that many people need to keep up with developments, particularly since we are moving into the more critical stage ("restart economy"), so feel free to share our commentary to anyone who has interest.

There are several new COVID-19 developments lately, such as a surge in reported cases in California, but I am focusing this note on the hard-hit travel sector because that’s where I think there could be some opportunities for investors. These are among the 'operating leverage' and epi-center stocks we think can outperform post-COVID 19.

POINT #1: CA cases surge, which is not good. It reported a new all-time high in daily cases at 2,417 cases, 900 more from the day prior, exceeding the prior record of 2,288. U.S. testing has moved to a higher level of activity, and, logically, as testing increases so will the number of new cases, as a function of better capture of the phenomena.

As I have noted, several serology studies have shown the prevalence of COVID-19 is likely 10X to 85X the confirmed levels. Testing is important, but we see treatments > testing > vaccines. Moreover, CA is not really a place where COVID-19 has ravaged, with 1238 cases per million vs. 25,000 per million in Westchester, NY. That said, NY state has ...

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