The fact UK Delta surge lasted 45 days remains important "break point" but we expect investors to remain wary

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STRATEGY: Investors likely remain wary, but key remains UK delta surge last 45 days
Fed likely dovish due to Delta risks...
The FOMC is meeting this week and the over-arching macro factor, in our view, remains COVID-19 risks and more specifically, the Delta variant. As we have highlighted in past reports, the Delta variant is now the dominant variant throughout developed markets. And strangely, the Delta variants seems to have eliminated other variants in these regions -- it is nearly 100% of cases in the UK.

And any "hot readings" of incoming economic data and inflationary signals are tempered by the macro risks posed by the Delta variant, and future mutations of COVID-19. Therefore, we think the probabilities favor the Fed erring on the side of accommodation/dovishness. This is obviously not a radical observation. But nevertheless, highlights that the delta variant is creating and underlying support for risk assets.

...India delta surge lasted about 50 days, UK surge lasted 45 daysWe think one of the most important developments in the past few weeks is the fact that the UK saw Delta COVID-19 surge peak ...

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