Election at 50/50, a geopolitical risk Array ( [cookie] => 38bc7a-aa3424-337639-f96d2b-e9393b [current_usage] => 2 [max_usage] => 2 [current_usage_crypto] => 2 [max_usage_crypto] => 2 [lock] => 1 [message] => [error] => [active_member] => 0 [subscriber] => 0 [role] => [visitor_id] => 207711 [user_id] => [reason] => [method] => ) 1 and can accesss
Polling continues to show a tied race but some switch in momentum towards former President Trump, however, polling continues to be a challenge to get a good model. Earlier this week Marist came out with a poll of “likely voters” showing the Vice President ahead 52 to 47. At the same time ABC and NBC have come out with polls showing the race tied, when weeks earlier Harris had a small lead.
With early voting underway in several states both campaigns will shift their focus to get out the vote activities. The swing states appear to remain: PA, MI, NC, and AZ. The candidates are spending large chunks of time in these states. Polls showing the nationwide numbers are of marginal value as the US elects the President with the Electoral College which is 50 different races; it is not a national contest.


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Thomas J. Lee
Head of Research
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"Super Granny" Shots Stock List Granny Shots we expect to tactically outperform and underperform. |
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Washington Policy Strategy
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Sean Farrell & Crypto Team
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FS Insight Research Team
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*Earnings Daily This note provides investors with a myriad of useful metrics to measure the progress of earnings season |
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Signal From Noise Highlights timely market themes and sectors with corresponding stocks, cutting through the day-to-day market “noise” for a distinct perspective. |
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*Daily reporting during each quarterly earnings season.