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Bulls Vs. Bears: Economic Data Inflection Point Could Be Near

November 22, 2019
Bulls Vs. Bears: Economic Data Inflection Point Could Be Near

Will the ongoing battle between bulls and bears be over soon? I think the next few months of U.S. economic data could be key in deciding an inflection point in market sentiment, which—despite the record highs seemingly seen day after day—remains quite cautious, if not outright bearish.

I’ve been pointing out a good part of 2019 that even though the contemporaneous economic data remains soft, there is growing evidence of the bottoming of the industrial cycle. Nevertheless, consensus still sees economic risks to the downside. My base case remains that the 2020 economy will be better than the 2019 economy, as the cumulative headwinds to global growth fade and become tailwinds, particularly in US, China and Japan.

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