Crypto Research
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MARKET BREADTH EXPANDING The crypto market is exhibiting signs of increased breadth, particularly noticeable as altcoins, typically further out on the risk curve, begin to attract more interest. As illustrated in the data below, the total market cap for altcoins (including stablecoins) is advancing towards its previous year-to-date high. ETH has not yet seen a substantial rally, but it appears to have established a potential near-term bottom against BTC. This...
U.S. equity indices are showing mild losses, with both the SPY and QQQ declining about 0.20% at the time of writing. Treasury yields are continuing yesterdayâs retreat, with the US10Y approaching 4.50%. Crypto markets are mixed, with BTC (-0.19%) sitting above $35k and ETH (+0.61%) hovering just below $1,900. Large-cap altcoins are showing strength today, with LINK 0.39% (+7.29%) and MATIC (+6.54%) being two of the best performers in the top...
The S&P could be on track for its seventh consecutive day of gains today after adding 0.32%, potentially the longest winning streak in nearly two years. As of this writing, the Nasdaq had gained 0.8%, with tech stocks increasing as long-term yields pulled back ~1%. Investors will closely watch commentary from several central bank speakers this week, including Chair Powell, to determine whether last week's dovish tones continue. BTC is...
Risk assets are starting the week on a strong note after a week marked by dovish data and the US Treasury's accommodating refunding schedule. Despite today's bounce in interest rates, the DXY remains relatively flat. Major equity indexes are showing slight gains, with healthcare and technology stocks leading the way. In the crypto market, assets are generally on the rise, with the recent rally broadening to other areas of the...
WEEKLY RECAP Crypto funding dropped significantly this week, falling from $144 million to $30 million, while deal count fell by more than 50%. Infrastructure was the most popular category, making up about two-thirds of total funding and total deal count. Within the Infrastructure category, two layer-2 networks (Layer N & Intmax) completed fundraises along with one layer-1 network (Waterfall Protocol). The average deal size was notably small this week at...
In this week's Crypto Comments video, we discuss recent U.S Treasury actions surprising the bond market, continuing bullish capital flows, and the reasons we believe on-chain activity could see a resurgence in the near term. Click HERE for our full Crypto Strategy note.
TREASURY REFUNDING AND ITS IMPACT ON ASSET PRICES The bond market has been experiencing notable volatility, predominantly due to a phenomenon known as a bear steepening. This situation arises when short-term interest rates remain stable, but long-term rates rise precipitously. We attribute this volatility largely to an increase in the supply of long-duration assets, propelled by a growing budget deficit and the expectation of ongoing Treasury issuances. While this bond...
Yesterday afternoon, both crypto and equity markets experienced a significant surge during Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's press conference, an event that numerous observers are labeling as a potential dovish shift. Stocks climbed approximately 1%, and BTC saw an over 2% increase, while the 10-year yields sharply declined to around 4.65%, markedly below the recent peak of 5% two weeks ago. Since the gains from yesterday afternoon, digital asset prices have...
INTRODUCTION Blockchain networks initially were more like closed-loop systems, meaning the value created and traded on-chain was confined to crypto native assets. As technology has developed, blockchains and the real world are becoming more intertwined. Crypto protocols and TradFi institutions alike are looking to tokenize real-world assets and benefit from transaction efficiencies, cost savings, interoperability, composability, and transparency. Protocols have already begun bringing assets like dollars and treasuries on-chain while...
Equity indices reacted positively to the release of the U.S. Treasuryâs funding schedule this morning, with the SPY and QQQ both rising over 0.60%. The Federal Reserve Committee is set to meet today and announce a decision on interest rates at 2 pm EST. The market is not expecting any surprises as interest rates will likely be held at current levels. Crypto markets are mixed ahead of the Fed meeting,...