Crypto Research
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In todays video we discuss the recent decline in bitcoins realized volatility and what this implies for near term price action. We also touch upon near term risks on our radar as well as a massive regulatory update. For our latest Crypto Strategy note click here. https://vimeo. com/849285737/03e6f1a16f? share=copy
PAINT DRYING Over the past few weeks, watching Bitcoin’s price action has been akin to watching paint dry. Earlier this week, bitcoin’s 30-day realized volatility reached levels not witnessed since July 2020. I shared the chart below in Wednesday’s market update. I noted that historical data indicates that such drawdowns in volatility often precede significant price movements. Recognizing the importance of this insight, we decided to delve deeper into the...
Securitize Begins Issuing Tokenized Securities in Europe and Blackrock Starts 'Digital First' Investment in India
BTC and ETH were each flat today, declining 0.11% and 0.14%, respectively. Most altcoins have had a relatively uneventful day as well, apart from a few standouts. One of these is on chain analytics protocol Arkham Intelligence (ARKM), which has risen 6.08% after declining the past week following its airdrop of 30 million tokens to ~65k wallets. DOGE also continues to outperform, rising on speculation that Elon Musk could integrate the memecoin into...
WHAT ARE AIRDROPS? Crypto Airdrops are a unique growth and distribution mechanism that crypto protocols use to attract users and give them ownership of the protocol through the "airdropping" of tokens. Airdrops involve giving away tokens to selected users to generate interest, raise awareness, and attract potential users to the project. Most airdrops aim to distribute tokens to early users and backers of the project, ideally rewarding these early backers...
The Federal Reserve is expected to approve its 11th interest rate increase since last March, and concerns seem centered on whether this move is excessive given disinflationary trends. The benchmark borrowing rate is projected to reach its highest level since early 2001. Major equity indices are starting the day lower as investors await the Fed's decision, and the DXY is moving lower alongside longer-term rates. In the crypto market, BTC...
Risk assets have remained relatively stable before tomorrow's FOMC meeting and critical earnings releases scheduled after today's close (Microsoft/Alphabet). The S&P was up 0.38% at writing, while the Nasdaq gained 0.83%. Notably, Chinese markets experienced a significant rise as the country committed to implementing substantial changes to support the property market and enhance consumer demand. Hong Kong and mainland equities surged approximately 4.1% and 2.1%, respectively. BTC is stabilizing after...
After weeks of choppy price action, crypto markets fell this morning, with Bitcoin dropping 3.18% and ETH dropping 2.26%. Higher beta altcoins were hit harder - ARB -0.58% , SOL 0.54% , and OP declined 5.50%, 5.82%, and 4.43, respectively. Despite poor performance from most mid-cap altcoins, on-chain activity on Ethereum has remained relatively high, with many on-chain coins such as UNIBOT, rising significantly, perhaps pulling liquidity away from the altcoins listed on centralized...
Bitcoin ETF Equilibrium Price Dynamics: ETF likely to drive significant rise in daily demand
We are attaching our deck on Bitcoin ETF equilibrium price dynamics. Please click here to download. If you have not yet registered for our Crypto Market Update on Tuesday, July 25 at 2pm, please register using the block below. EXECUTIVE SUMMARYBitcoin ETF could finally get approved. Sean Farrell sees the “Blackrock effect” making this far more likely today.Bitcoin ETF likely one of the largest ever launches. Precious metals ETF >...