Crypto Research
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BTC AS A POSSIBLE STRATEGIC RESERVE Last week, we discussed the rising political tailwinds affecting crypto. Despite events earlier in the year that might have suggested a changed stance from the Democratic Party, the political divide over the issue has grown stronger. The GOP has become the party that is undoubtedly more favorable to the industry. The attempted assassination of former President Trump, juxtaposed against a Democratic Party seemingly in...
CRYPTO MARKET UPDATE THE CRYPTO MARKET MOVED HIGHER IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AND IS NOW CONSOLIDATING POST-US MARKET OPEN. BTC once again challenged the $65k level and is currently sitting just below it, following the ninth consecutive day of net inflows for BTC ETFs. ETH is showing outsized strength, likely due to ETF issuers filing their final documents yesterday afternoon, with the ETF launch expected on Tuesday (more on...
CRYPTO MARKET UPDATE U.S. EQUITIES ARE MOVING SHARPLY LOWER AMID CHINA TRADE FEARS AFTER THE BIDEN ADMINISTRATION STATED IT'S CONSIDERING IMPOSING SEVERE RESTRICTIONS ON CHIPMAKERS IF CHINA CONTINUES RECEIVING ACCESS TO ADVANCED SEMICONDUCTOR TECHNOLOGY. The SPY -2.36% has dropped below $560 while the QQQ is showing more pronounced losses, falling to $484. Crypto is relatively flat, with BTC trading near $65k. Bitcoin ETF flows continue their positive streak, posting the eighth...
CRYPTO MARKET UPDATE AS EXPECTED, BTC AND THE WIDER CRYPTO MARKET MOVED LOWER ON THE NEWS THAT THE MT. GOX TRUSTEE HAD TRANSFERRED BTC OUT OF THE TRUSTEE WALLETS TO PARTNER EXCHANGES. However, the market has since rebounded, with BTC pushing $65k after touching $62.5k in the early morning hours. ETH has also rallied, though it is slightly lagging despite the upcoming launch of ETH ETFs next Tuesday. ETF flows...
CRYPTO MARKET UPDATE CRYPTO ASSETS RALLIED OVER THE WEEKEND FOLLOWING AN ASSASSINATION ATTEMPT ON FORMER PRESIDENT TRUMP, GALVANIZING HIS POLITICAL CAMPAIGN AND, IN TURN, OPTIMISM AROUND HIS PRO-CRYPTO STANCES. BTC has eclipsed $63k and ETH is approaching $3,400. Small-cap assets are seeing some risk appetite return with ACX, one of our Liquid Ventures constituents, making a new all-time high on the back of its Blast integration and consistent trend of...
CRYPTO MARKET UPDATE TODAY'S PRODUCER PRICE INDEX (PPI) CAME IN AT 0.2%, ABOVE THE CONSENSUS FORECAST OF 0.1%, INITIALLY SENDING RATES HIGHER, BUT THAT MOVE WAS QUICKLY FADED. Rates and the DXY moved more decisively lower following the release of the latest consumer sentiment survey, which came in at 66, below the market forecast of 68.5. In equity markets, we are seeing a continuation of the rotation trade, with IWM...
Gox Wallet Movements Still Present a Risk, But Macro & Politics Keeps Us Allocated Here (Core Strategy Rebalance)
DISCUSSING THE SUPPLY CONCERNS On balance, macro conditions have moved in our favor thus far in early Q3. We have received soft jobs numbers and softer ISM reports, and cooler inflation figures, which have sent rates and the DXY lower. Unfortunately, the mere reveal of imminent sales from the German BKA and the solidification of the Mt. Gox disbursement timeline were not enough to put a bottom in for bitcoin....
CRYPTO MARKET UPDATE JUNE CPI CAME IN BELOW EXPECTATIONS, WITH THE MOM FIGURE READING -0.1% COMPARED TO +0.1% EXPECTED, CAUSING A SIGNIFICANT DROP IN RATES, WITH THE US10Y DROPPING TO 4.175%. Markets are now pricing an 83% chance of a September rate cut, with higher probabilities for further easing in the subsequent November and December meetings. A large-cap to small-cap rotation appears underway in response to rate expectations, as the...
CRYPTO MARKET UPDATE BTC IS SLIGHTLY LOWER ON THE DAY BUT RALLIED TO OVER $59.5K OVERNIGHT. It is currently trading just below $58k after a drawdown following the US market open. On-chain data shows that over 10k BTC was sent from the German government to exchange and market maker partners this morning, more than was sent yesterday. ETHBTC is showing strength today, with ETH up nearly 2% and trading around...