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MARKET COMMENTARYINVESTORS WELCOMED THIS MORNING’S SLIGHTLY SOFTER THAN EXPECTED CPI DATA AND A LARGE DOWNSIDE MISS ON U.S. RETAIL SALES, ALLEVIATING INFLATION CONCERNS AND HELPING TO PROPEL STOCK INDICES TO NEW INTRADAY ALL-TIME HIGHS. The SPY -0.07% and QQQ 0.13% have gained over 1% to surpass $528 and $451, respectively, while US treasury rates have turned significantly lower, with the US10Y dropping below 4.34%. Crypto is responding in similar fashion with BTC -1.98% ...
Tornado Cash Developer Sentenced to 5 Years in Prison, LayerZero Succeeding Against Sybils
CRYPTO MARKET COMMENTARYAPRIL PPI CAME IN MIXED THIS MORNING, WITH A LARGE UPSIDE SURPRISE IN MOM READINGS (0.5% VS. 0.3% EXP.) AND YOY METRICS LARGELY IN LINE WITH EXPECTATIONS. The upside in the MoM reading was offset by March figures being revised downwards. Yields initially spiked upon the data release but have turned negative across the curve. Equities are showing mild gains as attention shifts towards tomorrow’s CPI data release. The SPY -0.07% has gained 0.17% and the QQQ 0.13% has gained 0.31%. Crypto assets are...
CRYPTO MARKET COMMENTARYBITCOIN REBOUNDED OVER THE WEEKEND, WITH PRICES FULLY RECOVERING FROM FRIDAY'S DRAWDOWN BY MONDAY MORNINg. BTC -1.98% is now trading just below $63k. Meanwhile, both ETH -6.06% and SOL -2.21% have lagged, trading at $3950 and $146, respectively. Altcoin flows seem to have shifted towards memecoins, which are outpacing the rest of the market today, with gains exceeding 5% from BONK -8.51% , DOGE -1.94% , and PEPE. This interest in memecoins likely stems from...
WEEKLY RECAP Total funding rose 58% this week from $128 million to $203 million, while total deals ticked up to 29 compared to last week’s 26. Infrastructure was the dominant category, representing 64% of funding and 55% of deal count. There were five CeFi deals this week (including our DotW), one of the higher totals for the category in recent weeks. Seed rounds amassed a staggering $92 million in funding...
MARKET COMMENTARYA PRETTY SIZEABLE MISS IN TODAY'S CONSUMER SENTIMENT SURVEY REVERSED MOST OF THE GAINS EXPERIENCED IN THE CRYPTO MARKET OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. Consumer sentiment came in at 67.4, well below market expectations of 77.2. 1Y inflation expectations came in at 3.5%, well above the market forecast of 3.2%. We saw the DXY N/A% turn sharply higher on the move, and most risk assets sold off. BTC -1.98% fell from...
MACRO SETUP STILL LOOKS GOOD FOR CRYPTO As discussed last week, we achieved the favorable setup we were anticipating. A combination of (1) a dovish Federal Reserve, (2) an accelerated tapering of quantitative tightening (QT), and (3) a Quarterly Refunding Announcement (QRA) that met investors' expectations contributed to a decline in rates during the first week of May, alongside a rebound in crypto assets. However, crypto investors remain cautious, and...
U.S. equity indices are showing modest gains today following weekly jobless claims coming in higher than expected, showing 231k versus 212k estimated, putting downward pressure on the DXY N/A% (-0.21%) and rates. The SPY -0.07% has gained 0.36%, approaching the $520 mark, while the QQQ 0.13% has risen 0.14% to the $440. Crypto assets are showing larger gains, with BTC -1.98% (+1.57%) rising above $62k and ETH -6.06% (+1.05%) surpassing $3,000. The Render Networkâs mobile app, OctaneX, was featured in Appleâs keynote presentation earlier...
The crypto market declined overnight, with BTC -1.98% dropping from $63k to $61k, SOL -2.21% from $150 to $145, and ETH -6.06% dipping below the $3k mark once again. The likely cause of the drawdown was upward pressure on the DXY N/A% and a lack of follow-through in flows. Among the few outperformers of the day were RUNE -5.09% , the native token of the cross-chain swapping protocol Thorchain, and Ethereum Classic (ETC -3.49% ), possibly driven by...
As we anticipated in mid-April, May 1st appears to have been a pivotal date for interest rates, which have broadly declined since the QRA and FOMC meetings. The release of soft jobs data on Friday has increased expectations for rate cuts within this calendar year. Flows are gradually beginning to return.
Rates are broadly lower again on Tuesday, with the US 10Y nearing 4.4%, down from 4.7% just under a week ago. Risk assets are on the rise, with both the ^SPX and QQQ 0.13% showing gains today. Crypto performance is mixed so far, with BTC -1.98% retesting the $63k level after US market open, following a rally to just over $64k in the early morning hours. Meanwhile, ETH -6.06% is still hovering just...
