Crypto Research
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GOLDEN CROSS APPROACHES The golden cross is a commonly used technical indicator. It is characterized by the intersection of two moving averages, where a short-term average crosses above a long-term average. The most commonly used moving averages are the 50-day and 200-day. This crossover pattern is widely interpreted as a signal of a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish, suggesting an upward momentum in the asset's price. As demonstrated...
Markets opened lower before rebounding on news of accelerated hiring in January (517k jobs added) and the lowest unemployment rate in 53 years at 3.4%. Despite strong job gains, wage growth continued to soften last month (+4.4% YoY). As reflected by markets, these conflicting data points could accommodate a soft landing scenario. ^SPX 0.62% (-0.1%) and QQQ 0.97% (-0.1%) are trading relatively flat at time of writing, while DXY and US20Y are up by...
Crypto and traditional markets consolidated ahead of today's FOMC meeting at 2 pm EST. The market is currently pricing in a 98.7% chance of a 25 bps rate hike according to CME Group's Fed Watch tool. BTC and ETH are down 0.57% and 0.70%, respectively, and SPX and NDQ are down 0.57% and 0.32%. Despite the broader market consolidating, certain altcoins have continued to rally. ATOM 7.88% is up 6.55% and...
The SPY 0.62% (+0.70%) and QQQ 0.97% (+0.82%) are rallying today following the latest Employment Cost Index (ECI) release, which showed continuing deceleration of wage growth, reducing the risk of a wage-price spiral that could keep inflation persistently higher. Crypto markets are following suit, with BTC rising 1.30% and ETH rising 1.65%, recouping some of yesterdayâs losses. Yesterday, the Financial Times reported that Twitter has begun applying for various regulatory licenses across...
The ^SPX 0.62% (-0.8%) and NDQ (-1.3%) slid on Monday morning as investors prepare for a stacked week of earnings and critical events on the economic calendar. Over 20% of the S&P 500 companies will report their earnings this week, including General Motors and McDonald's on Tuesday, followed by tech companies like Amazon, Apple, Alphabet, and Meta Platforms later in the week. Meanwhile, the FOMC will hold its meeting on Tuesday...
BACK TO LIFE If you were 100% deployed on January 1st and decided to lock in your returns for the year, frankly, we wouldn’t blame you, especially not after the carnage witnessed last year. However, as we discussed last week, we view this current rally as a sign of more opportunities to come and are excited to help our clients navigate the crypto market in 2023. The choppy, directionless crypto...
Markets are reacting favorably to signs of cooling inflation. This morning, the Commerce Department announced spending by US households decreased by 0.2% MoM, with PCE (Fed's current preferred gauge of inflation) rising 5% in December (vs. 5.5% in November). December Core PCE rose 4.4% (vs. 4.7% in November), growing at its slowest pace since October '21. ^SPX 0.62% and NDAQ -0.06% are trading 0.3% and 0.7% higher, while QQQ 0.97% is 0.8% higher...