Crypto Research
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Traditional markets are stumbling today as the National Bank of Canada unexpectedly raised interest rates by 25 bps, sparking fears that the U.S. will potentially follow suit. The ^SPX 0.60% (-0.31%) failed to break through $4,300, while the NDQ (-1.36%) has taken a pause on its recent outperformance. Crypto markets are still digesting the repercussions of the SEC lawsuits against Binance and Coinbase, with BTC (-3.15%) trading around $26.3k and ETH...
SEC EMPTIES THE CHAMBER It’s only Wednesday, but the SEC has pulled out the big guns. Conveniently following the release of a rather comprehensive crypto oversight bill by the House Financial Services Committee on Friday, the SEC dropped their mightiest hammer to date on the crypto industry. On Monday, the SEC took legal action against Binance, accusing the exchange of offering unregistered securities to the public. The SEC's lawsuit alleged...
Genesis Capital's Muddy Bankruptcy Proceedings, Speculation Around Binance's Future Successor
Global markets find their footing after last Friday's rally originating from a hot May jobs report. With the debt ceiling resolved and earnings seasons concluding, investors are honing in on the Fed's meeting next week for guidance on what's next. ^SPX 0.60% opened higher before retracing back to even, QQQ 0.53% displayed a similar pattern and is up 0.3%, while NDAQ 2.19% is trading at a 0.6% relative to Friday's close. Digital asset markets...
PMIS SHOW SLOWING ECONOMIC GROWTH There was a significant amount of economic data released this week, with particular attention given to the PMI data, which is considered a reliable indicator of economic activity. In May, the manufacturing sector in the US experienced its seventh consecutive month of contraction, as indicated by the Manufacturing ISM Report. The Manufacturing PMI for May was recorded at 46.9, a data point that suggests a...
After stalling yesterday, traditional equity indices have continued their march upwards, with the ^SPX 0.60% (+0.86%) surpassing $4,200 and the NDQ (+1.01%) pushing past $14,400. Debt ceiling fears have largely been alleviated as a bill suspending the ceiling passed the House late last night and will now move on to a Senate vote. Crypto markets are not sharing the same optimism as BTC (-1.19%) has dropped back below $27k and ETH...
The crypto market has seen a significant reversal of its weekend rally as investors watchfully anticipate the House vote on the debt ceiling agreement brokered between the White House and the House Speaker. BTC has fallen below the $27k mark, while ETH grapples with maintaining a foothold above $1850, and other altcoins face more considerable downward pressure. Optimism (OP) has seen a roughly 4% decrease in value, hitting its lowest...
After showing gains in after-hours trading, markets retraced on the first trading day after Memorial Day Weekend. President Biden and House Speaker McCarthy struck a tentative deal to raise the U.S. debt ceiling, although markets are ambivalent on whether it can be implemented by the June 5th deadline. ^SPX 0.60% and QQQ 0.53% opened 0.5% and 1.1% higher from last week's close before retracing to 0.1% and 0.9% higher, respectively. Treasury yields...
AI SKEWING THE PICTURE Previous observations highlighted how the decline in crypto prices signaled a temporary liquidity peak, potentially tied to the impending debt ceiling deal. Correlations between BTC, gold, and equities illustrated BTC's sensitivity to liquidity changes. As anticipated, BTC/Gold and BTC/equities (excluding AI-related names) correlations are now strengthening, with gold and equities tracking BTC's lead. Over the past few weeks, our discussions have centered around an observed shift...
Stocks and crypto rebound after a week of negative price action amid optimism of a potential U.S. debt ceiling deal. The S&P is up 1.2%, while the Nasdaq gained 2.3%. BTC and ETH are up 2.1% over the last day. The top two cryptos are seeing near 5-year lows for supply held on exchanges, indicating optimism and demand from users that want to own and use assets on their respective...