Crypto Research
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The S&P could be on track for its seventh consecutive day of gains today after adding 0.32%, potentially the longest winning streak in nearly two years. As of this writing, the Nasdaq had gained 0.8%, with tech stocks increasing as long-term yields pulled back ~1%. Investors will closely watch commentary from several central bank speakers this week, including Chair Powell, to determine whether last week's dovish tones continue. BTC is...
Risk assets are starting the week on a strong note after a week marked by dovish data and the US Treasury's accommodating refunding schedule. Despite today's bounce in interest rates, the DXY remains relatively flat. Major equity indexes are showing slight gains, with healthcare and technology stocks leading the way. In the crypto market, assets are generally on the rise, with the recent rally broadening to other areas of the...
WEEKLY RECAP Crypto funding dropped significantly this week, falling from $144 million to $30 million, while deal count fell by more than 50%. Infrastructure was the most popular category, making up about two-thirds of total funding and total deal count. Within the Infrastructure category, two layer-2 networks (Layer N & Intmax) completed fundraises along with one layer-1 network (Waterfall Protocol). The average deal size was notably small this week at...
In this week's Crypto Comments video, we discuss recent U.S Treasury actions surprising the bond market, continuing bullish capital flows, and the reasons we believe on-chain activity could see a resurgence in the near term. Click HERE for our full Crypto Strategy note. https://vimeo. com/880722276/708dce5267? share=copy
TREASURY REFUNDING AND ITS IMPACT ON ASSET PRICES The bond market has been experiencing notable volatility, predominantly due to a phenomenon known as a bear steepening. This situation arises when short-term interest rates remain stable, but long-term rates rise precipitously. We attribute this volatility largely to an increase in the supply of long-duration assets, propelled by a growing budget deficit and the expectation of ongoing Treasury issuances. While this bond...
Yesterday afternoon, both crypto and equity markets experienced a significant surge during Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's press conference, an event that numerous observers are labeling as a potential dovish shift. Stocks climbed approximately 1%, and BTC saw an over 2% increase, while the 10-year yields sharply declined to around 4.65%, markedly below the recent peak of 5% two weeks ago. Since the gains from yesterday afternoon, digital asset prices have...
INTRODUCTION Blockchain networks initially were more like closed-loop systems, meaning the value created and traded on-chain was confined to crypto native assets. As technology has developed, blockchains and the real world are becoming more intertwined. Crypto protocols and TradFi institutions alike are looking to tokenize real-world assets and benefit from transaction efficiencies, cost savings, interoperability, composability, and transparency. Protocols have already begun bringing assets like dollars and treasuries on-chain while...
Equity indices reacted positively to the release of the U.S. Treasuryâs funding schedule this morning, with the SPY and QQQ both rising over 0.60%. The Federal Reserve Committee is set to meet today and announce a decision on interest rates at 2 pm EST. The market is not expecting any surprises as interest rates will likely be held at current levels. Crypto markets are mixed ahead of the Fed meeting,...
Major equity indexes are recovering after giving up some of yesterday's gains. Short-term rates are on the rise, causing an uptick in the DXY index, while long-term rates have edged lower, potentially in response to yesterday's Treasury refunding preview that suggested Q4 debt issuance might be less than initially expected. These developments precede a pivotal macroeconomic day tomorrow featuring PMI, JOLTs data, and an FOMC decision. Additional information on the...
Digital Asset Funds See Largest Weekly Inflows Since July 2022, Singapore Launches International Tokenization Pilot
This week is a busy one for macro events, with the BOJ, FOMC, and BOE all having monetary policy meetings, beginning with the BOJ tomorrow and the FOMC on Wednesday. It is expected that the FOMC will hold interest rates steady and signal that any further rate hikes will be contingent on financial conditions and economic data. As investors await, the SPY and QQQ have both gained approximately 0.80% today. Crypto...
