World Cup Trade Ideas
Idiosyncratic Opportunities Abound
The euphoric part of the bull market for crypto was largely about finding the fastest horse paired with one’s relative risk appetite. Unfortunately, in a bear market, most horses, notably the weaker or tired ones, no longer want to race. However, the past few months have revealed that ample opportunities exist to find the few horses that have some giddy-up in them.
The two environments require fundamentally different approaches. The latter requires a more active investing style focused on managing risk. Recently we have tried to surface more of these short-term, tactical opportunities to clients.
Last week, we raised an intriguing bull case for DOGE and SHIB. We provided the caveat that any denouncement of DOGE integration into Twitter could derail the trade and that any spike in SHIB should be de-risked expeditiously. Both assets went on to have a phenomenal weekend, with DOGE nearly doubling and SHIB rising over 30% from the Friday close. We are resurfacing this trade merely to highlight that opportunities are still out there despite the macro backdrop.
MATIC Outperforms
On the topic of idiosyncratic performance, MATIC has displayed some impressive price action in recent weeks as the Polygon business development team cont...Reports you may have missed
INFLOWS RESUME On Monday, market sentiments were rattled by a surprisingly strong manufacturing PMI figure, marking the first expansionary reading in 18 months. This led to a rise in rates, with risk assets across the board experiencing selloffs amid renewed inflation concerns and fears that the Federal Reserve might need to implement further measures to cool the economy. However, in our crypto comments video on Tuesday, we outlined a couple...
Adding RON and IMX As a Different Flavor of ETH-beta and Gaming Exposure (Core Strategy Rebalance)
MARKET SHRUGS AT HOT CPI The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data indicated a hotter inflationary environment than forecasted for February. Despite the surprise in the numbers, market participants appeared largely unmoved, suggesting that the potential impact had already been factored into their calculations prior to the release. This resilience reflects a broader sentiment that a rates-driven selloff, in response to the CPI figures, is not a significant near-term risk....
RESEND: Bitcoin ETF Equilibrium Price Dynamics: ETF likely to drive significant rise in daily demand
BY POPULAR DEMAND, WE ARE RE-SENDING THIS BITCOIN PRICE IMPACT OF SPOT ETF REPORT FROM JULY 24, 2023 The Bitcoin spot ETF was finally approved. And we are seeing the surge in price of Bitcoin because of attractive supply and demand dynamics.We received multiple requests to resend this report from July 24, 2023 which looked at supply and demand dynamics if a spot ETF was approved.In short, we believe a...
FLOWS BEGET MORE FLOWS We have recently discussed the potential return of crypto being correlated with equities due to the new category of market participants entering the fold. However, price action this week suggests that inflows into the BTC ETFs may be throwing water onto that theory. It seems apparent that, at least in the near-term, that the ETF flows narrative is gaining steam, and it is likely that the...
Articles Read 1/1
🎁 Unlock 1 extra article by joining our Community!
You’ve reached your limit of 1 free monthly articles. Please enter your email to unlock 1 more articles.
Already have an account? Sign In 8aafa1-2c594a-d6be28-c18e5f-c599cd
Already have an account? Sign In 8aafa1-2c594a-d6be28-c18e5f-c599cd
