Crypto Research
1,875 Results
Last week, we wrote that the administration’s response to bond market volatility implied a critical shift in ongoing trade negotiations. While this does not eliminate the economic risks that remain, as investment and hiring decisions are effectively frozen, it does clarify two important points: (1) the administration appears more focused on shifting trade away from China rather than overhauling global trade entirely, and (2) it is aware of market volatility...
In today’s video, we discuss how, while we are not completely “out of the woods,” today’s development sets up crypto success over the next 1-2 months and would look for a breakout or retrace to add risk to our Core Strategy. _NOTE: This video was recorded late yesterday evening._ TICKERS IN THIS VIDEO: BTC 0.21%
CORE STRATEGY Given today’s developments, we believe it will be appropriate to increase exposure in our Core Strategy (total long position from 50% to 75% long and increasing our relative altcoin weighting). That said, given the explosive nature of today’s move and the firm resistance BTC is testing, we think it is prudent to wait for either a retrace or a confirmed breakout before executing. Source: TradingView, Fundstrat BOND MARKET...
In today’s video, we discussed how crypto’s weekend selloff brought BTC in line with equities, highlighted signs of a potential relief rally including elevated volumes and market sensitivity to trade headlines, and explored why Treasury Secretary Bessent’s involvement in trade talks may boost market confidence. TICKERS IN THIS VIDEO: BTC 0.21%
MARCH RECAP March showed declines in private funding activity and represented the lowest monthly total for the first quarter. Total funding fell 16% from February’s $1 billion to $840 million, while total deal count dropped 9% from 116 to 106. Infrastructure was the leading category, representing 50% of funding and 42% of all deals. There have been more CeFi deals to start 2025, with 25 through the first quarter compared...
In today’s video, we break down both short-term (bearish) and long-term (very bullish) views on crypto following yesterday’s tariff announcements. We highlight the key developments that could unlock near-term upside and explain why we’re skeptical that Bitcoin’s recent relative strength will continue, all else being equal. TICKERS IN THIS VIDEO: BTC 0.21%
Despite improving liquidity conditions and favorable seasonality offering reasons for optimism, the ongoing trade war remains the dominant driver of crypto’s next move. As such, we believe it’s prudent to stay patient. We’re increasing our Core Strategy allocation to USDC to 50%, keeping altcoin exposure minimal as we assess the potential fallout from the Liberation Day tariff announcements. While this may seem discouraging, the roadmap has become more straightforward: we...