Crypto Research
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CORE STRATEGY With lingering trade war talks and robust economic data dissuading a dovish Fed pivot, we think the potential for downside volatility remains elevated. While regulatory developments and institutional adoption continue to bolster the medium- to long-term outlook, no immediate “good news” seems likely. Nevertheless, we still expect crypto to outperform this year. Until we see flows return to crypto, raising cash/trimming altcoin positions appears prudent (BTC dominance higher)....
In today's video, we explore the lack of a market reaction to new steel and aluminum tariff announcements and what that could mean for crypto’s short-term outlook. We also discuss whether the market is finally in the clear regarding tariff-driven volatility before breaking down Bloomberg’s latest ETF analysis, which suggests LTC could be the next crypto spot ETF to earn regulatory approval. TICKERS IN THIS VIDEO: BTC...
MONTHLY RECAP 2025 started on a strong foot, with January funding rising 5% month-over-month to $938 million from $895 million in December, while the deal count decreased 8% from 116 to 107. Infrastructure was the leading category of January, totaling $628 million in funding across 64 deals, representing 67% of total funding and 60% of total deal count. Although there were only six CeFi deals in January, it was the...
CORE STRATEGY With the looming threat of an escalating trade war and economic data robust enough to discourage a more dovish Fed stance, we believe the upside risk for the DXY and yields has increased in Q1. Moreover, the market remains highly volatile and headline-driven, inhibiting the crypto market from gaining meaningful momentum. While regulatory developments are a key medium- to a long-term tailwind for crypto, it is unlikely that...
In today’s video, we explore how the latest tariff headlines are affecting the crypto market and outline our interpretation of these developments. We also discuss the recent SoftBank deal that has provided a lift to HPC miners and examine the accelerating SBR initiative at the state level. TICKERS IN THIS VIDEO: BTC
Developments since the inauguration confirm that the new administration is prioritizing an industry-friendly regulatory environment. Coupled with an easing DXY/yields, a possible TGA spenddown, and favorable seasonality, we think it’s prudent to maintain a long bias. Source: TradingView, Fundstrat Source: TradingView, Fundstrat POWELL MAKES SOME EDITS When the FOMC statement was first released on Wednesday, it carried a distinctly hawkish tilt. The language reflected a more optimistic view on employment...