Crypto Research

COINS DO NOT CARE ABOUT EPS As we have addressed over the past month, cryptoassets were nonreactive to the onslaught of gruesome tech earnings this week. At the time of writing, bitcoin, ether, and the rest of the crypto ecosystem have vastly outpaced the Nasdaq. As we can see below, a major contributing factor to crypto doing so well is yields rolling over for the first time since early October....

Funding this week fell once again, dropping from $191M to just $105M. Surprisingly, the bulk of this decline came from the infrastructure segment, which has generally been strong this year. Infrastructure funding fell from $142M to $35M, but still saw a fair number of deals, with seven of this week’s 17 deals being infrastructure-related. It’s important to note that the financing amount for two of the infrastructure deals this week...

Sean Farrell outlines evidence that could unravel the previous speculation on crypto's behavior in the context of the broader traditional market, and there are immediate and long-term implications to note. GET THE LATEST CRYPTO WEEKLY REPORT _*Recorded October 26, 2022_

FIGURE: PEPE TRYING TO GET AN UNCOLLATERALIZED LOAN ZERO-TO-ONE (Z2O) SERIES Given the decentralization and transparency benefits of blockchains, many have pointed to DeFi as crypto’s ‘killer use case.’ After all, finance today is built along opaque and slower traditional finance rails ripe for disruption by distributed ledger technology. Sobering up from the highs of the bull market of ‘21, however, DeFi advocates are now left wondering: ‘How much of...

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EARNINGS REVISITED Below is a chart that is both slightly jarring and fairly intuitive at the same time. The jarring aspect is obviously the rapid ascent of the expected terminal fed funds rate over the past six months. The intuitive part is that bitcoin does not like tightening monetary conditions and has steadily declined in direct opposition to the expected terminal rate. Note that we are using the futures market...