Crypto Research
1,930 Results
DISCUSSED IN TODAY'S VIDEO:DOVISH OUTLOOK: With the government shutdown halting NFP and unemployment data, the Fed will likely head into the next FOMC without updated labor numbers, reinforcing a dovish bias. ADP payrolls missed expectations, but were not enough to trigger growth fears.FLOWS AND PARTICIPATION RISING: MSTR’s rebound is encouraging, Bitcoin ETFs have seen multiple strong inflow days, and trading volumes are climbing across BTC and ETH, signaling renewed investor participation.GOLD-TO-BITCOIN ROTATION: Gold...
DISCUSSED IN TODAY'S VIDEO:ROBINHOOD STRENGTH: HOOD has surged on prediction market traction (>$2B Q3 volume), underscoring its ability to execute and monetize Gen Z through a full financial product suite.COINBASE CATCH-UP TRADE: With HOOD’s market cap now ~50% above COIN, Coinbase may look to accelerate product launches (tokenized equities, prediction markets). Combined with a supportive crypto backdrop, this sets up Q4 as a potential catch-up opportunity.MACRO BACKDROP SUPPORTIVE: Soft JOLTS data and a...
DISCUSSED IN TODAY'S VIDEO:BTC LEADERSHIP: BTC’s Coinbase-Binance spread flipped to a premium during U.S. hours, and BTC dominance rose. This signals healthier participation and supports the ongoing crypto recovery.MACRO WILDCARD: A likely government shutdown could delay Friday’s NFP and unemployment data, increasing the likelihood of an October rate cut.SEASONALITY SHIFT: Crypto has exited its historically weak stretch and is entering Q4, a period that has historically delivered strong performance. TICKERS...
CORE STRATEGY Source: TradingView, Fundstrat CRYPTO EQUITIES PORTFOLIO Source: TradingView, Fundstrat CONTEXT FOR THIS WEEK IS IMPORTANT It was a tough week for crypto. BTC continued to grind lower while alts were hit hard, the result of several overlapping headwinds.The weakness started last Friday into monthly options expiry and was followed by a sharp leverage wipe on Sunday. Thin liquidity, combined with capital chasing new coins such as ASTER and...
DISCUSSED IN TODAY'S VIDEO:Growth surprises to the upside: Durable goods (+2.9% vs –0.5% est.) and GDP revision (3.8% vs 3.3% est.) show stronger growth. Yields rose and risk assets fell on concerns of a hawkish Fed. Contrary to price action, this reinforces my Q4 view.Fed cares more about labor: Two cuts are still priced for this calendar year, with the Fed balancing inflation and labor risks. A growth-positive backdrop with...
DISCUSSED IN TODAY'S VIDEO:CRYPTO UNDERPERFORMANCE CONTINUES: Altcoins remain weak, and the Coinbase–Binance BTC spread remains stuck in discount territory since mid-August, reflecting persistent U.S. selling.BEARISH SENTIMENT RISING: Option skew across maturities shows puts priced at their richest (on a relative basis) since the March/April tariff drawdown, highlighting defensive positioning.LIQUIDITY HEADWINDS FADING: The Treasury General Account refill has weighed on net liquidity, but with the TGA nearly full, this drag should soon subside.SEASONALITY AND...
DISCUSSED IN TODAY'S VIDEO:LIQUIDATIONS: The crypto market was hit with $1.5B in long liquidations as thin weekend liquidity and stretched positioning drove a sharp deleveraging. While short-term weakness may persist, our Q4 outlook remains intact.NVIDIA–OPENAI PARTNERSHIP: Nvidia’s $100B investment into OpenAI underscores the durability of the AI CapEx cycle. This is a direct tailwind for miners and hybrid crypto equities reallocating infrastructure toward AI/HPC compute, with Galaxy and others well-positioned to benefit...
DISCUSSED IN TODAY'S VIDEO:FOMC CONFIRMS 2H THESIS: Policy remains dovish, easing continues into above-trend inflation and solid growth.MARKET REACTION: Growth optimism is back in play with the yield curve steepening and small caps outperforming. Today’s pullback looks like profit-taking with some options expiry noise.EQUITIES VS. CRYPTO: Tech rally driven by AI and data center hype. “Miners” in our crypto equity basket (IREN, WULF, CIFR) continue to outperform.MNAVS EXPANDING: Major DAT mNAV multiples have moved...
DISCUSSED IN TODAY'S VIDEO:Retail sales beat expectations, reinforcing the setup of monetary policy easing into a solid economy.Yield curve steepening points to growth optimism. Crypto rallied with BTC leading and ETH lagging, though mNAV expansion in ETH DATs suggests it could play catch-up in the days ahead.Dollar weakness remains a key tailwind, DXY breaking a 15-year trendline would be significant.BNB TRADE IDEA: Reports of easing DOJ oversight could pave the way...
DISCUSSED IN TODAY'S VIDEO:HYPERLIQUID GAINING “MAJOR” STATUS: Strong user growth, $1.3B in annualized buybacks, and an 11% token holder yield position HYPE as this cycle’s leading candidate for the next “major.”ANALOG GOLD CONTINUES TO RUN: Gold hit another all-time high, while the real 10-year yield closed at its lowest since Oct ’24, reinforcing a constructive backdrop for Bitcoin and crypto into Q4.BASE TOKEN CATALYST: Coinbase confirmed it is exploring a Base token. Near...
Two New Additions to the Crypto Equities Basket, Positioned for TradFi Adoption of the Next Major (Core Strategy Rebalance)
CORE STRATEGY Source: Artemis, Fundstrat ADDING: HYPE CRYPTO EQUITIES PORTFOLIO Source: TradingView, Fundstrat ADDING: HYPD, SONN ADDING HYPD & SONN TO EQUITIES BASKET AS HYPE CARVES A PATH TO $100 Every cycle, a new player emerges as the next “major.” In 2017, it was ETH. In 2021, it was SOL. In 2025, it is HYPE. Despite being only a few quarters old, HYPE has quickly established itself as a token...