Market Breadth Widens as Inflows Continue, Eyeing Tomorrow's ETF Approval Window
Market Breadth Expanding
The crypto market is exhibiting signs of increased breadth, particularly noticeable as altcoins, typically further out on the risk curve, begin to attract more interest. As illustrated in the data below, the total market cap for altcoins (including stablecoins) is advancing towards its previous year-to-date high.
ETH has not yet seen a substantial rally, but it appears to have established a potential near-term bottom against BTC. This stabilization is crucial for encouraging capital flow into assets within the Ethereum ecosystem.
Liquidity dispersion across the crypto market into assets beyond BTC and ETH often signals a time to be vigilant of potential downside risks. This dispersion typically leads to thinner liquidity for larger-cap assets, unless accompanied by continued capital inflows.
The following charts suggest that the market's breadth is widening. However, this expansion is occurring more rapidly against USD than BTC. Further, when combined with the ongoing data showing continued positive flows, the current rally still seems fundamentally healthy and worth buying into.
ByteTree, a crypto data provider, offers a breadth score ranging from 0 to 5 — with 5 indicating the strongest momentum — across various metrics for t...Reports you may have missed
CORE STRATEGY: FOCUS ON MAJORS, KEEP HEAD ON SWIVEL UNTIL BONDS/DXY RELENT We think it's right to expect a bounce into year-end, potentially starting tomorrow if PCE data comes in soft. In our view, this cycle is far from over, but until bonds find a bottom and the USD tops, it’s likely best for the more tactical investor to stay nimble and prepared for opportunities upon confirmation of this trend...
CORE STRATEGY Our base case assumes that the macro environment will remain accommodative for crypto through year-end. However, in light of recent market action, we remain alert for signs of a local top (not a cycle top). That said, it is difficult to justify a risk-averse stance at this stage and think it is right to lean into this altcoin rally. Source: TradingView, Fundstrat Source: TradingView, Fundstrat STRONG DOLLAR +...
Today's employment numbers broadly met investor expectations, placating a nervous market. Risk assets rallied, aligning with our view that yesterday's de-risking would not persist through today. Yields continued their downward trajectory, and Fed funds futures also declined, reflecting the market's adherence to the Fed's dovish messaging. Yields Falling: Source: TradingView Fed Funds Futures Showing More Cuts: Source: TradingView Oil prices nearing YTD lows likely assisted in alleviating near-term concerns about...
INDICATIONS OF FROTH Given the violent nature of the past month’s rally, we have been vigilant for signs of a local top. It would be disingenuous to claim that some qualitative "top signals" are not flashing right now. XRP—which we noted as a possible election trade back in October—with only 1–2k daily active addresses (vs ETH's over 400k, source: Artemis), is ripping toward new highs while influencers take to TikTok...