Crypto Daily Report – December 1

Dec 1, 2022
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Data and News for Digital Assets
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Crypto Daily Report

December 1, 2022
THIS MESSAGE IS SENT SOLELY TO CLIENTS OF FUNDSTRAT
Tickers on this report: BTC, ETH, FTM
Market Update
  • Stocks are mixed after a bullish opening early in the session. The Dow Jones dropped 0.8%, while the S&P and Nasdaq fell 0.1%. An initial bullish reaction was triggered by a below consensus PCE print of 0.2% month over month, below Dow Jones' 0.3% estimate, and in line with annual forecast. Investors are eying a significant jobs data release this Friday, which will be critical in the Federal Reserve's pace of rate hikes as the labor market has yet to show signs of softening, unlike recent inflation prints. $BTC has continued to show strength, rising by 1.7% over the last day, while $ETH rose 1.0%.$FTM has been a notable performer increasing 6.6% over the previous day and 37.7% over the last week, making it the top weekly gainer among the 100 largest coins. The bullish price action has followed a blog post by star DeFi developer and key FTM contributor Andre Cronje, which detailed how the $FTM team took the foundation's treasury from less than $5m in December 2018 to an estimated $340m today, primarily through DeFi farming.  
  • CFTC Chair Rostin Behnam claimed Bitcoin is the only digital asset that can be truly viewed as a commodity during a private speaking engagement at Princeton University. Benham backtracked on recent similar statements regarding Ethereum. While Bitcoin is almost universally seen as a non-security due to its decentralized structure, SEC Chairman Gensler has claimed Ethereum's recent transition to proof-of-stake could potentially make it a security. This is due to the nature of passive returns that accrue to stakers in proof-of-stake blockchains, which could draw regulatory scrutiny under the "anticipating profits based on the efforts of others" component of the Howey Test. The CFTC has been one of the most active regulators in crypto markets, engaging in over 60 enforcement cases since 2014. Yet Behnam stated the commission has limited resources and lacks direct oversight. A lack of regulatory clarity has created a regulatory vacuum where stakeholders are unsure whether oversight of cryptocurrencies should lie with the SEC or CFTC. 
  • Speaking at The New York Times Dealbook event, Larry Fink, CEO of the world's largest asset manager BlackRock, reiterated the firm's outlook on the potential for cryptocurrency and blockchain to revolutionize financial markets. Fink stated, "the next generation for markets, the next generation for securities, will be tokenization of securities." He argued the technology could lead to "reduced fees" and "instantaneous settlement [of] bonds and stocks" while disintermediating middlemen. BlackRock rose to prominence through its exchange-traded funds, which Fink claims led the previous evolution of investing, and he believes blockchain will lead the next. Fink also commented on BlackRock's investment in FTX, which led to an investment loss of $24m. He clarified the investment was held through a subsidiary "fund of funds" and not a "core part" of BlackRock's business. He blamed the collapse on FTX's token structure and warned exchanges issuing centralized tokens would likely have the same fate. 
Daily Technical Strategy
Crypto Daily Report – December 1

Mark L. Newton, CMT

Head of Technical Strategy

Bitcoin's rally to multi-day highs yesterday gave the first real proof that a counter-trend bounce was getting underway. $BTCUSD shows prices having closed at the highest levels since 11/10 and volume expanded to new highs for the week. A further rally looks likely into early to mid-December with initial targets found at 18,150 which lines up near former lows made in September/October. This looks to be a strong level of resistance that likely causes bounces to stall out, but any ability to regain $18,200 on a weekly close would argue for a larger rally to $20,000-$20,350, the latter lining up with a 50% retracement of BTCUSD's three-month range. Overall, until this prior consolidation can be successfully recouped, Bitcoin rallies are to be viewed as short-term, tactical rallies only. More will be needed to suggest a larger, intermediate-term rally is getting underway, and the ability to exceed August peaks would signify the first intermediate-term buy signal that could help provide the springboard for a bigger move.

Daily Important Metrics

Crypto Size

Bullish signal is tied to the crypto market growing

Market Cap $853B +$3.3B (+0.39%)

BTC Dominance   38.31% (+0.71%)

Stable Coins

Increase in circulating stablecoins is a Bullish signal

In Circulation $65B (--0.00%)

In Exchanges $18B (+0.77%)

BTC Metrics

A decrease in Bitcoin on exchanges is bullish, indicates investors are moving coins to cold storage

# BTC in Exchanges 2.3M (0.11%)

Funding Rates

Positive funding rates indicate traders are Bullish

Aggregate 0.0024% (0.0066)

Binance 0.0024% (0.0268)

Bitfinex -0.0001% (0.0000)

Bitmex 0.0024% (0.0268)

ByBit -0.0165% (-0.0074)

Deribit -0.0023% (0.0009)

Huobi 0.0084% (-0.0016)

Kraken -0.0301% (-0.0066)

Mean 0.0024% (0.0066)

OKex 0.0213% (0.0295)

SENTIMENT

Crypto Daily Report – December 1

BMI: 52 (0.00%)

Futures All Exchanges

A positive spread between Futures Prices and Spot Prices is Bullish

CME BTC Price $17,040 (2.22%)

Spot Basis   $-57.98 (-0.34%)

Volume 1.3M (56%)

Open Interest  425,259 (-1.79%)

Options All Exchanges

Higher open interest change in a bull market is bullish for the sector

Volume 24,684 (48%)

Open Interest 265,452 (1.32%)

Volume Put/Call Ratio 0.9179 (79%)

Open Interest Put/Call Ratio 0.5304 (-0.25%)

All metrics as of December 1, 2022 12:30 PM
Crypto Prices
SymbolMarket CapLast PriceDaily ChangeYear to DateRelative to BTC YTD
BTC$326B$16,9811.13%-64%
ETH$156B$1,2750.69%-66%-2.07%
DOGE$14B$0.10210.36%-40%23%
ADA$11B$0.31581.45%-76%-12%
MATIC$8.1B$0.92465.71%-63%0.41%
DOT$6.2B$5.391.04%-80%-16%
SOL$5.0B$13.621.86%-92%-28%
LINK$3.9B$7.613.67%-62%2.20%
NEAR$1.4B$1.742.44%-88%-24%
FTM$643M$0.25285.78%-89%-25%
HNT$310M$2.31-1.93%-94%-30%
Our Deep Research Projects
AVAX$4.0B$12.982.69%-88%-24%
IOTA$594M$0.21360.70%-84%-21%
ZIL$310M$0.02283.03%-70%-6.24%
AMP$147M$0.00350.03%-93%-29%
ZEN$133M$10.133.03%-83%-20%

All prices as of December 1, 2022 1:03 PM

Exchange Traded Products (ETPs)
SymbolPremium to NavLast PriceDaily ChangeYear to DateRelative to BTC YTD
GBTC-35%$8.69-1.70%-75%-11%
BITW-43%$7.212.12%-81%-17%
ETHE-34%$6.965.94%-78%-15%
QBTC-8.17%$15.804.57%-74%-10%
BTCC-0.01%$3.173.77%-63%0.46%

All prices as of November 30, 2022 7:02 AM

Stocks
SymbolMarket CapLast PriceDaily ChangeYear to dateRelative to BTC YTD
PYPL$216B$78.520.14%-58%5.38%
SQ$76B$68.030.38%-58%5.86%
COIN$65B$45.37-0.79%-82%-18%
SBNY$18B$138-0.87%-57%6.49%
HOOD$15B$9.862.82%-44%19%
MSTR$6.1B$197-0.37%-64%-0.01%
SI$4.2B$26.41-3.72%-82%-18%
MARA$3.5B$6.29-0.47%-81%-17%
RIOT$2.7B$4.56-1.94%-80%-16%
MOGO$223M$0.60071.81%-82%-19%

All prices as of December 1, 2022 1:02 PM

News
QUICK BITS
TP ICAP gets FCA approval to offer crypto services to institutional clients
The Block
One of the world's largest capital markets firm's received approval from the UK financial regulator to launch a wholesale crypto exchange for institutional clients. The post TP ICAP gets FCA approval to offer crypto servi...
Binance Acquires Licensed Japanese Crypto Exchange — Prepares to Enter Japan as Regulated Entity
BtcEthereum
Cryptocurrency exchange Binance has acquired a regulated Japanese cryptocurrency exchange and is now preparing to enter the Japanese crypto market as a regulated entity. “The Japanese market will play a key role in the future of cryptocurrency adopt...
MARKET DATA
Solana crashes 55% in November but NFT trades still booming
CryptoSlate
Solana has been on a downtrend since the collapse of FTX, as investors have been selling their SOL holdings due to its connection with the Sam Bankman-Fried crypto empire. The post Solana crashes 55% in November but NFT trades still booming appeared...
THOUGHTS AND OPINIONS
BlackRock CEO Says ‘Next Generation for Markets’ Is Tokenization
Decrypt.co
BlackRock joins a growing number of firms backing the tokenization of securities, despite the CEO’s wider crypto cynicism.
REGULATION
CFTC chief says Bitcoin is the only commodity in the wake of FTX collapse
Coin Telegraph
CFTC has faced a lot of scrutiny in the wake of FTX collapse due to its ties with the crypto exchange and SBF’s efforts to put the committee as the key oversight body for crypto.
CFTC Chair Behnam walks fine line during Congress’ first FTX hearing
The Block
The Senate Agriculture Committee is taking a closer look at how crypto exchange FTX fell apart. The post CFTC Chair Behnam walks fine line during Congress’ first FTX hearing appeared first on The Block.
NFTS
Coinbase Wallet says Apple requested 30% of all NFT transfer gas fees
CryptoSlate
Coinbase Wallet on December 1 revealed that Apple blocked its last application update and requested 30% of all NFT transfer gas fees. The post Coinbase Wallet says Apple requested 30% of all NFT transfer gas fees appeared first on CryptoSlate.
HIRING
Crypto exchange Kraken lays off 1,100 employees - CNBC
Fundstrat AI Robot
Jesse Powell, CEO of cryptocurrency exchange Kraken, sits for a photograph at the company's San Francisco office in 2014.
PRODUCT UPDATES AND PARTNERSHIPS
Huobi, Poloniex announced strategic partnership despite initial denials of a merger
Coin Telegraph
The exchanges will cooperate progressively in HT coin development, liquidity sharing and global compliance, plus Huobi will monitor Poloniex for new projects to list.

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