Buying the News

Apr 14, 2023 • 8 Min Read

ETH Moving Shanghigher

As we mentioned last week, the market was overly pessimistic regarding the supply-side effects of the upcoming Ethereum staking withdrawals. Factors such as existing liquidity for most stakers, withdrawal queue limitations, and a market that de-risked in anticipation of the Shapella upgrade all helped to reduce the likelihood of a sudden supply overhang. With this in mind, it seemed reasonable to expect an ETHBTC rally in the weeks following the successful completion of the event. While a "sell the news" event for LSD governance tokens was possible, we thought it more likely that these tokens would align with ETH's trajectory. Based on these views, we maintained a positive stance on both ETH and LSD governance tokens. We are only a couple of days removed from the hard fork, but price action thus far seems to be aligned with this view.

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Following the Shapella upgrade most market activity did not even result from validators fully exiting the Beacon Chain. Instead, the lion’s share came from stakers withdrawing and potentially liquidating only their earned rewards for securing the network over the past couple of years. By skimming their rewards rather than completely exiting their staking positions, these stakers continued to participate in network...

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