The Way You MOVE

Mar 31, 2023 • 13 Min Read

Bond Volatility Moving Lower is Good for Liquidity

Over the past few weeks, we have discussed how the ongoing banking crisis, the Fed's language shift and easing monetary policies from major central banks have led to increased net liquidity in the U.S. and higher global USD liquidity. 

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One risk that these absolute liquidity levels face is a negation by the Fed’s reverse repo facility. The Reverse Repo Facility (RRP) is a tool used by the Federal Reserve to control overnight interest rates by decreasing the number of reserve balances in the banking system through reverse repo transactions. In a reverse repo transaction, the Fed sells securities with the agreement to buy them back later, providing an alternative investment option for money market investors when rates fall below the interest on reserve balances rate. When liquidity flows into the RRP, it is theoretically being drained from the private market (numbers below are dated by a few weeks).

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The RRP helps support the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy goals and financial system stability. When there is too much capital chasing short-term rates, and they fall below the rate offered by the RRP, inflows into the RRP will increase, and vice versa. Following the exodus from banks,...

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