Tariffs: Bearish in Short-term, Bullish in Long-term
In today’s video, we discuss some of the reasons we think it’s prudent to be somewhat risk-averse and favor BTC over alts. We also explore why current trade tensions hint at a significant long-term upside for BTC.
Tickers in this video: BTC -1.45%
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CORE STRATEGY With the looming threat of an escalating trade war and economic data robust enough to discourage a more dovish Fed stance, we believe the upside risk for the DXY and yields has increased in Q1. Moreover, the market remains highly volatile and headline-driven, inhibiting the crypto market from gaining meaningful momentum. While regulatory developments are a key medium- to a long-term tailwind for crypto, it is unlikely that...
In today’s video, we explore how the latest tariff headlines are affecting the crypto market and outline our interpretation of these developments. We also discuss the recent SoftBank deal that has provided a lift to HPC miners and examine the accelerating SBR initiative at the state level. TICKERS IN THIS VIDEO: BTC -1.45%
Developments since the inauguration confirm that the new administration is prioritizing an industry-friendly regulatory environment. Coupled with an easing DXY/yields, a possible TGA spenddown, and favorable seasonality, we think it’s prudent to maintain a long bias. Source: TradingView, Fundstrat Source: TradingView, Fundstrat POWELL MAKES SOME EDITS When the FOMC statement was first released on Wednesday, it carried a distinctly hawkish tilt. The language reflected a more optimistic view on employment...
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