Crypto Research
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Today, we discuss how the unwind of the popular BTC basis trade could act as a near-term headwind, explore why crypto now appears to have a negative correlation with bonds and explain our (admittedly low-conviction) view that altcoins might bounce soon. TICKERS IN THIS VIDEO: BTC
In today’s video, we’ll break down the recent price action across altcoins, examine why RAY might merit reconsideration in our Core Strategy portfolio, and highlight a couple of silver linings that could signal a brighter outlook for bulls (eventually). TICKERS IN THIS VIDEO: BTC
MSTR Reloading Presents Opportunity for Bounce, But Broader Picture Remains the Same
CORE STRATEGY There is a chance that MSTR flows spark a short-term bounce here, but assets further out on the risk curve continue to face headwinds from ongoing uncertainty surrounding trade and monetary policy. Although the current administration takes a pro-crypto stance, there appears to be no immediate catalyst to revive market enthusiasm. We still anticipate that crypto will outperform this year, but until we see further progress on trade/monetary...
In today's video, we cover the from this week, highlight the underwhelming flow picture, and dive into BTC's relationship with various equity benchmarks. We'll also explore why gold is outperforming BTC and the significance of the staked ETH ETFs. TICKERS IN THIS VIDEO: BTC
CORE STRATEGY With lingering trade war talks and robust economic data dissuading a dovish Fed pivot, we think the potential for downside volatility remains elevated. While regulatory developments and institutional adoption continue to bolster the medium- to long-term outlook, no immediate “good news” seems likely. Nevertheless, we still expect crypto to outperform this year. Until we see flows return to crypto, raising cash/trimming altcoin positions appears prudent (BTC dominance higher)....
In today's video, we explore the lack of a market reaction to new steel and aluminum tariff announcements and what that could mean for crypto’s short-term outlook. We also discuss whether the market is finally in the clear regarding tariff-driven volatility before breaking down Bloomberg’s latest ETF analysis, which suggests LTC could be the next crypto spot ETF to earn regulatory approval. TICKERS IN THIS VIDEO: BTC...
MONTHLY RECAP 2025 started on a strong foot, with January funding rising 5% month-over-month to $938 million from $895 million in December, while the deal count decreased 8% from 116 to 107. Infrastructure was the leading category of January, totaling $628 million in funding across 64 deals, representing 67% of total funding and 60% of total deal count. Although there were only six CeFi deals in January, it was the...