Crypto Research
211 Results
Given the recent crypto market volatility, we are writing a bit more frequently to help ourselves and our readers better assess where the market may be headed. In our Sunday night note, we discussed how the market may be seeing an exhaustion of sellers. In our Monday night note, we discussed how that may have driven the market bounce we saw. On Tuesday and Wednesday (today), crypto markets have calmed...
China crypto ban made the sell-off worse, but PBOC balance sheet growth matters more than posturing and is not the only key market driver - rally remains intact
In our crypto flash Monday night, we laid out 9 reasons we thought Bitcoin was close to a bottom around $40k. But yesterday crypto markets went for a wild ride. We got yet another sharp move lower below $30k but have since bounce back and are now at $41k. Part of this was due to leverage liquidations, but part of the move was also sparked by negative news of China banning crypto. Source:...
Each night when most people see the darkness ushering in the end of the day, J-P Metsavainio sees his day just beginning. J-P is known as an astrophotographer, but if an artist is someone who creates images that convey one’s passion and beauty, then J-P is the truest of artists. He works with a model that is all around us but has seldom been seen as clearly and magnificently as...
The Grayscale Ethereum Classic Trust (ETCG) stock is trading at a ~50% discount to net asset value (NAV). We think this could represent an opportunity for clients depending how the markets move over the weekend and want to put this on folks’ radar for next week. Currently, the stock ETCG is trading at ~$56 and meanwhile its underlying holdings, the cryptocurrency Ethereum Classic (ETC), are trading at $120 on Coinbase and...
Crypto Strategy: Bitcoin $100k target intact; corporate buyers offer surprise catalyst; Ethereum growing into our $10k target; crypto market on pace to hit $5T
In this week’s crypto strategy note we discuss:Bitcoin rebounding from a healthy cooling off period last week as the macro backdrop remains accommodative & bull market remains intactEven if Facebook didn’t buy Bitcoin, corporates are coming, and it may not be reflected in earnings announcements yetRemaining overweight Ethereum and maintaining a price target of $10.5k as ETH reaches new highs and continues to outperform BTCContinue to see more upside in...
A lot happened this week. Bitcoin hit new ATH’s and crypto is showing signs of market rotations. Our current views on the crypto market are the following:Crypto bull market cycle intactBitcoin valuations haven’t peakedMacro picture mixed but favorableCrypto cooling off would be heathyInstitutions more cautious on cryptoSigns of retail money entering pictureStill favor buying GBTC over spot BitcoinStill see Ethereum outperforming BitcoinSize leadership shifting to retail midcapsExchange tokens to DeFi...
Crypto Quarterly Portfolio Strategy Q1 2021: Bull market intact as stocks, high yield and capital flows signal further risk-on ahead of landmark Coinbase IPO
In this crypto weekly note, we’re giving a more comprehensive Q1 end update covering prior recommendations and current market views.Bitcoin and crypto had a strong March quarterStocks and high yield are signaling risk-on for cryptoLong GBTC NAV discount is the new BTC premium arb tradeBitcoin dominance falling as crypto capital flows push altcoins higherSmaller to mid-cap cyclicals offering high-risk high-reward crypto market betaCoinbase IPO is landmark moment for the crypto...
GBTC announces plans to convert to an ETF which should help close the -9% NAV premium gap
The largest U.S. exchange traded products, GBTC and ETHE, for the largest two crypto assets, Bitcoin and Ethereum, have been trading at a persistent discount to their NAV for a little over a month, with GBTC sitting around -9% and ETHE sitting around -5%. Source: Bloomberg (Date: 4/5/2021) Much of the discount has been the result of investors expecting a U.S. listed Bitcoin ETF in the near future after the...
Bitcoin has rebounded to new highs and pulled back again since our last market update on Bitcoin two weeks ago. We may sound like a broken record, but we remain bullish on Bitcoin and crypto and see further upside during the balance of the year. A FEW REASONS WE SEE FOR THE RECENT PULL BACK: -Traders repositioning ahead of $6B largest ever Bitcoin options expiration tomorrow -Traditional institutions new to...
BITCOIN MINING: THE MODERN AGE DIGITAL GOLD RUSH As coined by Mark Twain, “During the gold rush it’s a good time to be in the pick and shovel business.” Bitcoin and the wider crypto market are the modern age digital gold rush. As investors rush to gain exposure to scarce digital assets rapidly appreciating in value, critical infrastructure and service providers have positioned themselves to capitalize on the growing market....
CRYPTO MARKETS ARE REBOUNDING FROM LAST WEEK’S RATE RISE TANTRUM Bitcoin and crypto have rallied over the last several days after crypto and the broader markets have started to shake off rising rate fears. Easing investor concerns, the quick move upward in the 10 year has slowed, but what could interest rates tell us about the possible direction of Bitcoin prices? First let’s revisit what’s recently happened:The COVID pandemic took...
COINBASE, KRAKEN, GEMINI, AND OTHER CRYPTO EXCHANGES MUST EMBRACE DEFI TO REMAIN COMPETITIVE Coinbase’s direct listing on Nasdaq is a watershed moment for the crypto industry. It will be the first public crypto company with pure and dependable cash flows that is on par with some of the largest and most established exchanges in the world. Coinbase generated 2020 revenue of $1.3 billion, compared to CBOE’s $1.2 billion, Nasdaq’s $2.9...
