Crypto Research
254 Results
WEEKLY RECAP It was yet another choppy, risk-off week for crypto, as investor concerns over inflation and the impending Fed response grew. Last week, we discussed how the March FOMC meeting minutes discussed an expeditious plan for rate hikes and a roadmap for quantitative tightening starting as early as May. This clearly reverberated throughout both traditional and crypto markets over the past week. On Tuesday, March CPI figures were released,...
Meeting minutes from the March FOMC meeting were released today. The Fed’s posture leaned decisively hawkish as they introduced the prospect of QT starting as early as May.Despite the resurgence of macro headwinds, the bullish trend upwards for realized cap continued this week, indicating renewed demand for bitcoin.We revisit our LFG model from last week and adjust inputs for LFG’s recent purchasing activity.Staked ETH continues to march higher as confidence...
WEEKLY RECAP It was another week of green candles across the crypto ecosystem as bitcoin flirted with its 200-day moving average for the first time in several months. Like last week, the more speculative sectors outperformed the prior 7-days, with the once-beleaguered DeFi sector continuing to turn some heads. _Source: Messari_ Below we examine some of the reasons we think that this relief rally mirrors those seen in late 2021...
WEEKLY RECAP Cryptoassets performed strongly for the second consecutive week, as prices have seemingly become less responsive to negative headlines surrounding the war in Ukraine and the risk of excess hawkishness from the Fed. It was another “risk-on” week within crypto as smart contract platforms performed the best on a size-adjusted basis out of any other sector. Much of this outperformance stems from the recent optimism surrounding Ethereum’s merge and...
WEEKLY RECAP For the first time since December 2018, the Fed announced a benchmark interest rate hike of 25 bps and signaled for six more hikes this year. It is apparent that the market had priced this in (discussed further below) and is content with the lack of increased hawkishness despite rampant inflation. Bitcoin and ether increased in lockstep with equities but remain largely range-bound, currently straddling $40k and $2.6k,...
WEEKLY RECAP The global crypto market continues to exhibit a range-bound choppiness, waxing and waning on the latest headlines. We saw ETH and BTC start the week above the $43k level after benefitting immensely from Russian sanctions and the narratives surrounding them. Since then, markets have retreated as commodity prices skyrocket – oil hit $130 per barrel, wheat prices reached a 14-year high, and a metal exchange had to roll...
We continue to focus on the key narratives surrounding bitcoin and assess recent adoption trends driven by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.We review on-chain data (realized cap, STH SOPR, and wallet addresses) to determine whether there is a sustained level of organic demand supporting the recent uptick in bitcoin’s price.Recent price action gives us some confidence that there will be buyers that step up in the $34k-$35k area should we witness...
Markets continue to experience turbulence in the face of growing geopolitical tensions and full-scale war between Russia and Ukraine.We examine recent growth in spreads on major exchanges, highlighting a persistent low-liquidity environment.Option volumes point to the likelihood that many investors are maintaining long positions while hedging risk with derivatives.The market is already questioning the ability of the Fed to raise rates as indicated by a decline in projected rate hikes.We...
GEOPOLITICAL NOISE After briefly eclipsing $45k and $3.2k, both bitcoin and ether tumbled on Friday afternoon following indications from the US government that a Russian invasion of Ukraine was imminent. On Tuesday, these fears were quelled when reports surfaced indicating that troops were being removed from the Ukrainian border and crypto rebounded alongside equities. At the time of writing, the global crypto market is slightly lower on the 7-day chart,...
Markets rebound sharply, with impressive price action across all major crypto sectors.On-chain and derivatives data point toward a combination of low liquidity, seller exhaustion, and short liquidations as the major catalysts for this price run.A disproportionate increase in price compared to realized cap suggests that low liquidity levels are exacerbating price movements.We review several events of the past week and discuss the major implications.BOTTOM LINE: We remain bullish on the...
OUR 2022 DIGITAL ASSETS OUTLOOK PRESENTATION COVERED TOPICS RELEVANT TO THE CURRENT TRENDS AND NARRATIVES THAT WE TYPICALLY MONITOR IN THE WEEKLY REPORTS. BECAUSE OF THIS, WE ARE SENDING OUT THE PRESENTATION FOR THIS WEEK IN PLACE OF THE USUAL WEEKLY FORMAT. [event_shortcode id="339492"] Click HERE for the full copy of this report in PDF format. ON TUESDAY, WE HELD OUR 2022 OUTLOOK CALL. SOME OF THE MAJOR HIGHLIGHTS INCLUDE:A...
