Polymarket Considers Token Launch, Bitfarms and Riot Reach Settlement.

Sep 24, 2024

Market Update

Equities are gaining following the People’s Bank of China announcing the largest stimulus package since the pandemic. China-related names are surging, with FXI 1.57%  and KWEB 1.73%  gaining more than 8%. The SPY -0.68%  and QQQ -0.90%  have gained 0.22% and 0.67%, respectively. Crypto is mixed, with altcoins outperforming the majors. BTC 2.42% has declined modestly to $63k, and ETH 1.47% is trading just above $2,600. TIA 11.26% has been one of the top gainers over the last 24 hours, rising more than 18% after the Celestia Foundation announced that it raised $100 million in an investment round led by Bain Capital Crypto. Twenty rollups have launched leveraging Celestia’s data availability solutions, and the funding should help them scale towards processing 1GB blocks.

Polymarket Considering Token Launch

Polymarket, a leading prediction market platform, is considering launching a token to raise capital and support its platform. Polymarket is reportedly seeking to raise more than $50 million via token warrants. Polymarket raised $45 million in a Series B round in May, but a token launch could accelerate the platform’s growth. A token could also be integrated within the platform to offer unique features or perhaps be utilized to move the platform away from its no-fee structure. Prediction markets have been becoming increasingly popular, especially as election season heats up, with Polymarket’s political markets notably being integrated directly into Bloomberg’s terminal as a method to monitor election odds. Daily active traders on the platform have risen rapidly, with more than 10,000 people wagering on Polymarket daily and monthly volumes approaching $2 billion.

Polymarket Considers Token Launch, Bitfarms and Riot Reach Settlement.
Source: Dune
Polymarket Considers Token Launch, Bitfarms and Riot Reach Settlement.

Bitfarms and Riot Reach Settlement

After months of ongoing disputes, Bitfarms and Riot Platforms have come to a settlement that puts an end to Riot’s hostile takeover attempt of Bitfarms. The two mining companies released a joint statement outlining the terms of the settlement, resulting in changes to the Bitfarms board of directors and Riot withdrawing its requisition. Bitfarms has provided Riot with the right to purchase shares of Bitfarms as long as they hold more than 15% of outstanding common shares. Bitfarms stated they are pleased with the agreement and look forward to shifting its focus back towards executing its growth strategy and diversifying its business beyond Bitcoin mining and into other areas, including HPC, AI, energy trading, and heat recycling. BITF N/A%  has gained approximately 1% following the settlement.  

Technical Strategy

Conflux’s breakout to the highest levels since early August looks to be coinciding directly with China’s latest stimulus efforts, and CFX 3.62% has now traded up to the highest levels since early August.   The success last week in recapturing $0.14 managed to exceed a minor downtrend in CFX going back since May of this year.  That was instrumental in helping the trend starting to slowly improve following its huge pullback since early this Spring.  Today’s rally looks to be helping momentum and structure turn quickly more positive and likely helps CFX extend up to  $0.21 initially, then $0.275 which represents the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement area of the pullback from March into August 2024.  While CFX is higher by +11.9% today, momentum has still not reached overbought levels and is thought to be the start of a larger rally that could take prices higher into October.   Minor pullbacks down to $0.14, while not expected right away, would represent an attractive area to buy dips as part of this new rally, and Conflux looks attractive at current levels on a risk/reward basis.

Polymarket Considers Token Launch, Bitfarms and Riot Reach Settlement.
Source: TradingView

Daily Important Metrics

Crypto Size

Bullish signal is tied to the crypto market growing

Market cap 2.22T $-14.0B(-0.62%)
BTC Dominance
56.24 % (-0.07%)
Stablecoins

Increase in circulating stablecoins is a Bullish signal

In Circulation +$119B(0.07%)
In Exchanges +$22B(-0.10%)
BTC Metrics

A decrease in Bitcoin on exchanges is bullish, indicates investors are moving coins to cold storage

# BTC Exchanges +$3.0M(0.09%)
Funding Rates

Positive funding rates indicate traders are Bullish

Aggregate+0.5701(-0.1191)
Binance-0.1193(-0.3848)
Bitfinex+0.6539(0.6539)
Bitmex+0.3083(-0.3576)
ByBit+0.7421(-0.2579)
Deribit+0.0876(-0.5291)
Huobi+1.0000(1.0000)
Kraken+0.5678(1.0014)
Mean+0.5701(-0.1191)
OKex +0.9405(0.2970)
Sentiment
Picasso Network Successfully Integrates IBC with Ethereum, Wormhole Token Goes Live

BMI : 55 (100.00%)

Futures

A positive spread between Futures Prices and Spot Prices is Bullish

CME Price $63,525(-0.35%)
Spot Basis +$271(0.43%)
Volume 558,612(64.78%)
Open Interest 304,632(1.56%)
Options all exchanges

Higher open interest change in a bull market is bullish for the sector

Volume 19,116(90.87%)
Open Interest 295,054 (1.35%)
Vol. Put/Call Ratio 0.7346 (-49.97%)
OOI Put/Call Ratio 0.4980 (0.82%)

All metrics as of 2024-09-24 14:18:28

All Funding rates are in bps

Crypto Prices

Symbol Market Cap Last Price Daily Change Year to Date Relative to BTC YTD
btc imageBTC
$1.25T $63,242 -0.76%49.74%
btc imageETH
$315B $2,615 -2.32%14.93%-23.25%
btc imageSOL
$68B $146 0.97%43.28%-4.31%
btc imageHNT
$1.2B $7.34 -2.06%-80.54%-87.01%
btc imageDOGE
$233,621 $0.0002 30.46%-99.74%-99.82%

All prices as of 2024-09-24 12:06:30

Exchange Traded Products (ETPs)

Symbol Prem. to Nav Last Price Daily Change Year to Date Relative to BTC YTD
BITW -36.64% $29-0.31%24.46%-16.88%
ETHE 1.00% $22-2.15%13.90%-23.94%

News

Quick Bits

CryptoPotato

HashKey Global Introduces Industry-First Zero-Fee Futures Trading, Sets Sights on Becoming the World’s Largest Licensed Futures Exchange

[PRESS RELEASE – Hamilton, Bermuda, September 24th, 2024] HashKey Global, a licensed virtual asset exchange, has announced the launch of a zero-fee campaign for futures trading, set to go live on September 27, 2024. Aiming to become the world’s largest licensed futures trading platform, HashKey Global is the first in the industry to introduce zero […]

The Block

Hong Kong starts second phase of e-HKD pilot to explore tokenization, offline payments

The HKMA will launch a sandbox to explore use cases in the settlement of tokenized assets, programmability and offline payments.

CoinJournal

Metaplex unveils indexing and data availability network for Solana

Metaplex Foundation announced the Metaplex Aura Network on September 23, 2024. Aura is a decentralised indexing and data availability platform designed to extend the Solana and Solana Virtual Machine networks. MPLX price rose 12% amid the news and overall crypto market surge. The Metaplex Foundation, the non-profit supporting the Metaplex Protocol, has announced a new […] The post Metaplex unveils indexing and data availability network for Solana appeared first on CoinJournal.

Crypto Infrastructure

CryptoSlate

Bybit unveils first Shariah-compliant Islamic crypto account

Crypto exchange Bybit has introduced an Islamic crypto account tailored to its Muslim users, according to a Sept. 24 statement. Bybit CEO Ben Zhou shared the update in a social media post on X, stating: “[The] World first Crypto Islamic account is now fully live on Bybit. Shariah-Compliant and Initial offerings include spot trading (limited […] The post Bybit unveils first Shariah-compliant Islamic crypto account appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Thoughts and Opinions

The Block

Bitwise CIO says ‘the most powerful people in finance’ are allocating to crypto

When allocations spread from financial advisors to their clients, “things could get interesting quickly,” Matt Hougan added.

Fundraising and M&A

The Block

Kraken expands European footprint with acquisition of Dutch crypto broker BCM

Kraken completed its acquisition of Dutch crypto broker BCM as part of its overall European expansion efforts.

Product Updates and Partnerships

The Block

Treasure DAO approves migration to ZKsync, eyes mainnet launch within two months

The gaming DAO "overwhelmingly" voted to approve a plan to migrate the ecosystem from Arbitrum to ZKsync

Reports you may have missed

CRYPTO MARKET UPDATE Crypto prices have rebounded slightly following yesterday's sharp selloff, with BTC 2.42% climbing back above $61,000 and SOL 3.24% moving above $145, while ETH 1.47% is lagging, trading around $2,400. Among today's outperformers is SUI 8.09% , which appears resilient despite a $115 million token unlock yesterday. Oil is partially retracing its early rally, gold is lower on the day, and yields are moving higher, suggesting at least a temporary reversal of...

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